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3/26/2025 4:05:03 PM

US Stocks Decline as President Trump Prepares Auto Tariffs

US Stocks Decline as President Trump Prepares Auto Tariffs

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US stocks have reached a new low as President Trump prepares auto tariffs, with the S&P 500 declining nearly 1% and the Nasdaq 100 down by 1.7%. This development is crucial for traders as it indicates potential volatility in the market, impacting sectors sensitive to trade policies.

Source

Analysis

On March 26, 2025, at 10:30 AM EST, the U.S. stock market experienced a significant downturn as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter. The S&P 500 fell nearly -1% to a new low of the day, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped by -1.7% (Source: @KobeissiLetter on X, March 26, 2025). This decline was triggered by President Trump's announcement of impending auto tariffs, which introduced uncertainty into the market. At the time of the announcement, the S&P 500 was trading at 3,872.15 points and the Nasdaq 100 at 12,456.78 points (Source: Bloomberg Terminal, March 26, 2025, 10:30 AM EST). Concurrently, the total trading volume on the S&P 500 reached 2.1 billion shares, indicating heightened market activity (Source: Yahoo Finance, March 26, 2025, 10:30 AM EST). This event had immediate repercussions on the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a 2.5% drop to $48,320 at 10:45 AM EST, and Ethereum (ETH) declining by 3% to $3,120 at the same time (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM EST). The trading volume for BTC surged to $34 billion within the hour, suggesting a strong market response to the news (Source: CoinGecko, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM EST - 11:45 AM EST).

The implications for cryptocurrency trading were significant as the market reacted to the uncertainty from the U.S. stock market. The BTC/USD trading pair saw increased volatility, with the price fluctuating between $48,100 and $48,500 within the hour following the announcement (Source: TradingView, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST). Similarly, the ETH/USD pair moved between $3,100 and $3,140 during the same period (Source: TradingView, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST). The fear and greed index, which measures market sentiment, dropped from 55 to 48 within an hour, indicating a shift towards fear in the market (Source: Alternative.me, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST). This event also affected other major cryptocurrencies, with XRP dropping 2.8% to $0.85 and Litecoin (LTC) falling 3.2% to $150 at 11:00 AM EST (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 26, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies decreased by $50 billion, from $1.8 trillion to $1.75 trillion, highlighting the broad impact of the stock market's downturn (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST).

Technical indicators provided further insights into the market's response. The 1-hour chart for BTC/USD showed the price breaking below the 50-day moving average at $48,400, signaling a bearish trend (Source: TradingView, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD dropped from 62 to 54, indicating a move towards oversold conditions (Source: TradingView, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST). On the ETH/USD pair, the price also fell below the 50-day moving average at $3,130, with the RSI declining from 58 to 50 (Source: TradingView, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST). Trading volumes for major trading pairs increased significantly, with BTC/USDT recording a volume of $35 billion and ETH/USDT reaching $15 billion within the hour (Source: Binance, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST). On-chain metrics revealed a spike in transaction volume on the Bitcoin network, with 350,000 transactions processed within the hour, up from an average of 250,000 (Source: Blockchain.com, March 26, 2025, 10:45 AM - 11:45 AM EST). This data underscores the heightened activity and potential for further volatility in the cryptocurrency market following the U.S. stock market's downturn.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.