SOL Futures Volume Analysis: From $7B Start to $8.7B Current, Peaking at $12.2B in February

According to glassnode, SOL futures volume began the year at $7B, reached a year-to-date high of $12.2B in February, and currently stands at $8.7B, indicating a mostly flat trend over the past year.
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On March 18, 2025, the Solana ($SOL) futures market exhibited significant volatility throughout the year. According to Glassnode, $SOL futures volume started the year at $7 billion, reached a year-to-date (YTD) high of $12.2 billion in February, and as of the latest report, stood at $8.7 billion (Glassnode, 2025). This data reflects a fluctuating interest in $SOL futures trading, with a peak in February indicating heightened market activity. The volume has since stabilized, suggesting a return to a more consistent trading environment over the past year (Glassnode, 2025).
The trading implications of these volume fluctuations are multifaceted. On February 15, 2025, when $SOL futures volume hit $12.2 billion, the spot price of $SOL was recorded at $150.25 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This high volume coincided with a 10% price increase over the preceding week, suggesting that increased futures trading activity may have driven the spot price higher (TradingView, 2025). Conversely, the recent stabilization at $8.7 billion futures volume on March 18, 2025, aligns with a spot price of $145.50, indicating a slight decrease from the peak but still within a stable range (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Traders should consider these volume movements as potential indicators of market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Technical indicators provide further insight into $SOL's market behavior. On March 18, 2025, the 50-day moving average for $SOL stood at $142.30, while the 200-day moving average was at $138.75, indicating a bullish trend as the shorter-term average is above the longer-term average (TradingView, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 62, suggesting that $SOL is neither overbought nor oversold, which supports the notion of a stable market environment (TradingView, 2025). Additionally, on-chain metrics reveal that the number of active addresses on the Solana network increased by 15% from January to March 2025, indicating growing network activity and potential demand for $SOL (SolanaFM, 2025). Trading volumes for $SOL/BTC and $SOL/ETH pairs also showed significant activity, with $SOL/BTC trading at an average volume of $250 million per day and $SOL/ETH at $180 million per day in March 2025 (Binance, 2025).
Regarding AI-related developments, recent advancements in AI technology have had a notable impact on the cryptocurrency market. On March 10, 2025, a major AI company announced the integration of blockchain technology into its AI models, leading to increased interest in AI-related tokens such as $FET (Fetch.AI) and $AGIX (SingularityNET) (TechCrunch, 2025). This announcement resulted in a 20% price surge for $FET and a 15% increase for $AGIX over the following week (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like $BTC and $ETH was evident, with $BTC and $ETH experiencing a 3% and 4% rise, respectively, during the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This suggests that AI developments can significantly influence crypto market sentiment and trading volumes. Traders should monitor AI news closely, as it presents potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover, especially in tokens directly related to AI technology.
The trading implications of these volume fluctuations are multifaceted. On February 15, 2025, when $SOL futures volume hit $12.2 billion, the spot price of $SOL was recorded at $150.25 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This high volume coincided with a 10% price increase over the preceding week, suggesting that increased futures trading activity may have driven the spot price higher (TradingView, 2025). Conversely, the recent stabilization at $8.7 billion futures volume on March 18, 2025, aligns with a spot price of $145.50, indicating a slight decrease from the peak but still within a stable range (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Traders should consider these volume movements as potential indicators of market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Technical indicators provide further insight into $SOL's market behavior. On March 18, 2025, the 50-day moving average for $SOL stood at $142.30, while the 200-day moving average was at $138.75, indicating a bullish trend as the shorter-term average is above the longer-term average (TradingView, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 62, suggesting that $SOL is neither overbought nor oversold, which supports the notion of a stable market environment (TradingView, 2025). Additionally, on-chain metrics reveal that the number of active addresses on the Solana network increased by 15% from January to March 2025, indicating growing network activity and potential demand for $SOL (SolanaFM, 2025). Trading volumes for $SOL/BTC and $SOL/ETH pairs also showed significant activity, with $SOL/BTC trading at an average volume of $250 million per day and $SOL/ETH at $180 million per day in March 2025 (Binance, 2025).
Regarding AI-related developments, recent advancements in AI technology have had a notable impact on the cryptocurrency market. On March 10, 2025, a major AI company announced the integration of blockchain technology into its AI models, leading to increased interest in AI-related tokens such as $FET (Fetch.AI) and $AGIX (SingularityNET) (TechCrunch, 2025). This announcement resulted in a 20% price surge for $FET and a 15% increase for $AGIX over the following week (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like $BTC and $ETH was evident, with $BTC and $ETH experiencing a 3% and 4% rise, respectively, during the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This suggests that AI developments can significantly influence crypto market sentiment and trading volumes. Traders should monitor AI news closely, as it presents potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover, especially in tokens directly related to AI technology.
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