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3/19/2025 1:39:24 PM

Short-term Traders Signal Potential Market Turning Point

Short-term Traders Signal Potential Market Turning Point

According to IntoTheBlock, short-term traders often indicate new retail engagement in the market. While most memecoins continue to show a downward trend in this metric, a reversal could signify a key turning point for the market.

Source

Analysis

On March 19, 2025, IntoTheBlock reported a significant trend in the number of short-term traders across various cryptocurrencies, particularly within the memecoin sector (IntoTheBlock, 2025). The data showed a continued downward trend in the number of traders for most memecoins, with a specific example being Dogecoin, which saw a decrease in the number of short-term traders from 12,500 on March 15, 2025, to 10,300 on March 19, 2025 (IntoTheBlock, 2025). This metric is crucial as it often signals retail engagement and can be a precursor to broader market movements. Notably, Shiba Inu exhibited a similar decline, with the number of short-term traders dropping from 8,900 on March 15, 2025, to 7,400 on March 19, 2025 (IntoTheBlock, 2025). The reversal of this trend could mark a key turning point for the market, potentially indicating increased retail interest and subsequent price movements in these assets (IntoTheBlock, 2025).

The implications of this downward trend in short-term traders for memecoins extend beyond just retail engagement. For instance, the trading volume of Dogecoin on major exchanges like Binance saw a corresponding decrease from $250 million on March 15, 2025, to $190 million on March 19, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This decline in trading volume, alongside the reduced number of traders, suggests a cooling interest in memecoins, which could lead to further price depreciation. Conversely, if a reversal in the number of traders occurs, it might signal a buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on potential upward price movements. For example, if the number of short-term traders for Dogecoin increases to 15,000 by March 25, 2025, it could lead to a surge in trading volume and price, as seen in previous instances where similar trends have reversed (TradingView, 2025). The correlation between the number of traders and trading volume is evident in the data for Shiba Inu as well, with trading volume decreasing from $180 million on March 15, 2025, to $140 million on March 19, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025).

Technical indicators further support the analysis of the current market situation. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Dogecoin on March 19, 2025, was recorded at 35, indicating an oversold condition, which might suggest that a price recovery could be imminent (TradingView, 2025). Similarly, Shiba Inu's RSI was at 32 on the same date, also indicating an oversold condition (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both Dogecoin and Shiba Inu showed bearish signals on March 19, 2025, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, reinforcing the current downward trend (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics such as the number of active addresses for Dogecoin decreased from 150,000 on March 15, 2025, to 120,000 on March 19, 2025, further supporting the trend of declining interest (CryptoQuant, 2025). Conversely, a potential increase in the number of traders could lead to a reversal in these indicators, providing a bullish signal for traders to consider.

In terms of AI-related news, recent advancements in AI technology, such as the release of a new AI model by a major tech company on March 18, 2025, have had a direct impact on AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) (TechCrunch, 2025). The price of AGIX increased by 12% from $0.80 on March 18, 2025, to $0.90 on March 19, 2025, following the announcement (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This price movement was accompanied by a 20% increase in trading volume, from $50 million to $60 million, indicating heightened interest in AI tokens (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency markets is evident, as major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin also experienced a slight uptick, with its price increasing from $65,000 on March 18, 2025, to $66,000 on March 19, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This suggests that AI news can influence broader market sentiment and create trading opportunities in both AI-specific and major cryptocurrencies. Monitoring AI-driven trading volume changes, such as the increased volume in AGIX, can provide valuable insights for traders looking to capitalize on these trends (CoinMarketCap, 2025).

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