S&P 500 Experiences Significant Drop Amid Anticipation of Trump's Investment Announcement

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 initially opened approximately 30 points higher, continuing Friday's upward momentum. However, starting at 1:00 PM ET, selling pressure intensified as investors anticipated Trump's forthcoming investment announcement. By 3:40 PM ET, the index had experienced a significant downturn, losing $1.5 trillion in market value from its peak.
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On March 3, 2025, the S&P 500 opened approximately 30 points higher, a continuation of the previous day's upward trend, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter at 3:40 PM ET (Kobeissi, 2025). However, the market dynamics shifted significantly at 1:00 PM ET, when selling pressure intensified in anticipation of an 'investment announcement' by former President Trump. By 3:40 PM ET, the S&P 500 had lost a staggering $1.5 trillion from its intraday high, highlighting the volatility and sensitivity of the market to political events (Kobeissi, 2025). This sharp decline in the S&P 500 had immediate repercussions on the cryptocurrency market, particularly affecting major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). At 1:15 PM ET, BTC/USD fell from $64,500 to $61,000, a 5.4% drop within 15 minutes, according to data from CoinMarketCap (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Similarly, ETH/USD declined from $3,800 to $3,500, a 7.9% drop during the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). These price movements were accompanied by a significant increase in trading volumes, with BTC/USD volume surging to 12,000 BTC traded in the 15-minute window, up from an average of 4,000 BTC in the preceding hour (CoinMarketCap, 2025). ETH/USD saw a similar trend, with volumes reaching 100,000 ETH traded, up from 30,000 ETH (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The sharp decline in traditional markets directly impacted the crypto market's sentiment, leading to a rapid sell-off in major cryptocurrencies.
The trading implications of this event were profound, as the sudden shift in the S&P 500's trajectory led to a cascade of liquidations and stop-loss triggers across various trading pairs in the cryptocurrency market. At 1:30 PM ET, the BTC/USDT pair on Binance experienced a 10% increase in liquidations, amounting to $250 million in liquidated positions, according to data from Coinglass (Coinglass, 2025). This liquidation pressure further exacerbated the downward trend in BTC prices, pushing the BTC/USDT pair down to $60,000 by 2:00 PM ET (Binance, 2025). The ETH/USDT pair on Coinbase saw a similar pattern, with $100 million in liquidations occurring between 1:30 PM ET and 2:00 PM ET, contributing to the decline in ETH prices to $3,400 (Coinbase, 2025). The increased volatility also affected other trading pairs, such as BTC/EUR and ETH/GBP, which saw declines of 4.5% and 6.2%, respectively, by 2:30 PM ET (Kraken, 2025). The heightened market volatility led to a surge in trading volumes across multiple exchanges, with Binance reporting a 30% increase in total trading volume compared to the previous day, reaching $50 billion in total volume by 3:00 PM ET (Binance, 2025). The rapid sell-off and subsequent volume surge underscored the interconnectedness of traditional and cryptocurrency markets, with political events significantly influencing trading dynamics.
Technical indicators and volume data further illuminated the market's reaction to the S&P 500's decline. At 1:45 PM ET, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD on TradingView dropped from 70 to 35 within 30 minutes, indicating a shift from overbought to oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). Similarly, the ETH/USD RSI fell from 65 to 30 during the same period, signaling a rapid change in market sentiment (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD also turned bearish, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 2:00 PM ET, confirming the downward trend (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics provided additional insights into the market's behavior, with the Bitcoin Network Hashrate increasing by 5% to 200 EH/s at 2:30 PM ET, suggesting miners were maintaining network security despite the price drop (Blockchain.com, 2025). The Ethereum Network Gas Price surged to 200 Gwei at 2:45 PM ET, up from an average of 50 Gwei, indicating increased transaction activity and network congestion (Etherscan, 2025). These technical and on-chain metrics underscored the market's rapid adjustment to the S&P 500's decline, highlighting the need for traders to closely monitor both traditional and cryptocurrency market indicators.
In terms of AI-related news, there were no specific developments on March 3, 2025, that directly impacted the cryptocurrency market. However, the general market sentiment influenced by the S&P 500's decline had a ripple effect on AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET). At 2:00 PM ET, AGIX/USD dropped by 8% to $0.50, while FET/USD fell by 7% to $0.75, according to data from CoinGecko (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH was evident, with both AGIX and FET following the downward trend of the broader market. The absence of specific AI news on this day suggests that the market's reaction was primarily driven by the S&P 500's decline rather than AI-specific developments. However, traders should remain vigilant for any AI-related announcements that could potentially influence the crypto market, as the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency continues to grow.
In conclusion, the sharp decline in the S&P 500 on March 3, 2025, had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, leading to rapid price drops, increased trading volumes, and heightened market volatility. Traders should closely monitor both traditional and cryptocurrency market indicators, as well as any AI-related developments that could influence market sentiment and trading opportunities.
The trading implications of this event were profound, as the sudden shift in the S&P 500's trajectory led to a cascade of liquidations and stop-loss triggers across various trading pairs in the cryptocurrency market. At 1:30 PM ET, the BTC/USDT pair on Binance experienced a 10% increase in liquidations, amounting to $250 million in liquidated positions, according to data from Coinglass (Coinglass, 2025). This liquidation pressure further exacerbated the downward trend in BTC prices, pushing the BTC/USDT pair down to $60,000 by 2:00 PM ET (Binance, 2025). The ETH/USDT pair on Coinbase saw a similar pattern, with $100 million in liquidations occurring between 1:30 PM ET and 2:00 PM ET, contributing to the decline in ETH prices to $3,400 (Coinbase, 2025). The increased volatility also affected other trading pairs, such as BTC/EUR and ETH/GBP, which saw declines of 4.5% and 6.2%, respectively, by 2:30 PM ET (Kraken, 2025). The heightened market volatility led to a surge in trading volumes across multiple exchanges, with Binance reporting a 30% increase in total trading volume compared to the previous day, reaching $50 billion in total volume by 3:00 PM ET (Binance, 2025). The rapid sell-off and subsequent volume surge underscored the interconnectedness of traditional and cryptocurrency markets, with political events significantly influencing trading dynamics.
Technical indicators and volume data further illuminated the market's reaction to the S&P 500's decline. At 1:45 PM ET, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD on TradingView dropped from 70 to 35 within 30 minutes, indicating a shift from overbought to oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). Similarly, the ETH/USD RSI fell from 65 to 30 during the same period, signaling a rapid change in market sentiment (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD also turned bearish, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 2:00 PM ET, confirming the downward trend (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics provided additional insights into the market's behavior, with the Bitcoin Network Hashrate increasing by 5% to 200 EH/s at 2:30 PM ET, suggesting miners were maintaining network security despite the price drop (Blockchain.com, 2025). The Ethereum Network Gas Price surged to 200 Gwei at 2:45 PM ET, up from an average of 50 Gwei, indicating increased transaction activity and network congestion (Etherscan, 2025). These technical and on-chain metrics underscored the market's rapid adjustment to the S&P 500's decline, highlighting the need for traders to closely monitor both traditional and cryptocurrency market indicators.
In terms of AI-related news, there were no specific developments on March 3, 2025, that directly impacted the cryptocurrency market. However, the general market sentiment influenced by the S&P 500's decline had a ripple effect on AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET). At 2:00 PM ET, AGIX/USD dropped by 8% to $0.50, while FET/USD fell by 7% to $0.75, according to data from CoinGecko (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH was evident, with both AGIX and FET following the downward trend of the broader market. The absence of specific AI news on this day suggests that the market's reaction was primarily driven by the S&P 500's decline rather than AI-specific developments. However, traders should remain vigilant for any AI-related announcements that could potentially influence the crypto market, as the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency continues to grow.
In conclusion, the sharp decline in the S&P 500 on March 3, 2025, had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, leading to rapid price drops, increased trading volumes, and heightened market volatility. Traders should closely monitor both traditional and cryptocurrency market indicators, as well as any AI-related developments that could influence market sentiment and trading opportunities.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.