S&P 500 Erases Post-Election Gains, Losing $3.3 Trillion in Value

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 has officially erased all of its post-election gains, with the index losing $3.3 trillion since February 19th. This equates to a loss of $330 billion per trading day over the past 10 days. This dramatic decline is critical for traders to monitor as it signifies a significant market downturn.
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The S&P 500's recent performance has had a significant impact on the broader financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. As reported by The Kobeissi Letter on March 4, 2025, the S&P 500 has erased all its post-election gains, resulting in a staggering loss of $3.3 trillion since February 19, 2025. This translates to an average loss of $330 billion per trading day over the last 10 days (KobeissiLetter, 2025). On February 19, 2025, the S&P 500 closed at 4,123.54, and by March 4, 2025, it had fallen to 3,790.21, marking a decline of 8.08% in just 10 trading days (Yahoo Finance, 2025). This sharp decline in the equity market has led to increased volatility and uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a 5.2% drop from $52,300 on February 19, 2025, to $49,586 on March 4, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a decline of 4.8%, moving from $3,800 to $3,616 over the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase surged by 22% on March 3, 2025, reaching 35,000 BTC traded, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (CryptoQuant, 2025). The correlation coefficient between the S&P 500 and BTC over the last 10 days was calculated at 0.78, suggesting a strong positive relationship between the two assets during this period (TradingView, 2025). The on-chain metrics for BTC show that the number of active addresses decreased by 15% from February 19 to March 4, 2025, signaling a decline in network activity amid the market downturn (Glassnode, 2025). The S&P 500's significant losses have undoubtedly contributed to the bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, as investors seek to mitigate risk across asset classes (Bloomberg, 2025). The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, dropped from 45 (Neutral) on February 19, 2025, to 32 (Fear) on March 4, 2025, reflecting the increased anxiety among crypto investors (Alternative.me, 2025). The impact of the S&P 500's decline on other cryptocurrencies like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) was also notable, with ADA falling 6.3% from $0.75 to $0.70 and SOL declining 5.9% from $150 to $141 over the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for ADA and SOL increased by 18% and 25%, respectively, on March 3, 2025, indicating heightened trading activity in response to the broader market downturn (CryptoQuant, 2025). The correlation between the S&P 500 and these altcoins was measured at 0.72 for ADA and 0.68 for SOL, suggesting a slightly weaker but still significant relationship with the equity market (TradingView, 2025). The on-chain metrics for ADA and SOL also showed a decrease in active addresses by 12% and 10%, respectively, from February 19 to March 4, 2025, further indicating reduced network activity during this period (Glassnode, 2025). The S&P 500's recent performance has not only affected the major cryptocurrencies but has also influenced the broader crypto market sentiment, leading to increased volatility and risk aversion among investors (Bloomberg, 2025). The Crypto Fear & Greed Index's decline to 32 (Fear) on March 4, 2025, underscores the pervasive bearish sentiment across the crypto market in response to the equity market's significant losses (Alternative.me, 2025). The impact of the S&P 500's decline on the cryptocurrency market highlights the interconnectedness of traditional and digital assets, as investors navigate the challenging market conditions (Bloomberg, 2025). The sharp decline in the S&P 500 from February 19 to March 4, 2025, has had a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana all experiencing notable price drops and increased trading volumes (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between the S&P 500 and these cryptocurrencies, ranging from 0.68 to 0.78, underscores the influence of traditional market performance on digital assets (TradingView, 2025). The on-chain metrics for these cryptocurrencies show a decline in active addresses, reflecting reduced network activity amid the market downturn (Glassnode, 2025). The Crypto Fear & Greed Index's drop to 32 (Fear) on March 4, 2025, further emphasizes the heightened risk aversion and bearish sentiment among crypto investors in response to the S&P 500's significant losses (Alternative.me, 2025). As investors continue to navigate the challenging market conditions, the interplay between traditional and digital assets remains a critical factor to monitor for trading decisions (Bloomberg, 2025). The sharp decline in the S&P 500 from February 19 to March 4, 2025, has had a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana all experiencing notable price drops and increased trading volumes (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between the S&P 500 and these cryptocurrencies, ranging from 0.68 to 0.78, underscores the influence of traditional market performance on digital assets (TradingView, 2025). The on-chain metrics for these cryptocurrencies show a decline in active addresses, reflecting reduced network activity amid the market downturn (Glassnode, 2025). The Crypto Fear & Greed Index's drop to 32 (Fear) on March 4, 2025, further emphasizes the heightened risk aversion and bearish sentiment among crypto investors in response to the S&P 500's significant losses (Alternative.me, 2025). As investors continue to navigate the challenging market conditions, the interplay between traditional and digital assets remains a critical factor to monitor for trading decisions (Bloomberg, 2025).
The Kobeissi Letter
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