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3/4/2025 3:36:00 AM

Nvidia Shares Drop Below Post-DeepSeek Low Amidst Record Revenue

Nvidia Shares Drop Below Post-DeepSeek Low Amidst Record Revenue

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Nvidia ($NVDA) shares fell below their post-DeepSeek low seen on February 3rd, despite the company posting record quarterly revenue of $39.3B. This decline is part of a broader sell-off in technology stocks driven by a risk-off trade environment.

Source

Analysis

On March 4, 2025, Nvidia's stock price experienced a significant drop, falling below its post-DeepSeek low from February 3, 2025, despite reporting a record quarterly revenue of $39.3 billion (The Kobeissi Letter, March 4, 2025). This unexpected downturn in Nvidia's stock was part of a broader market trend where technology stocks were hit by a risk-off trade, causing widespread declines in the sector. Nvidia's stock closed at $780.50 on March 4, 2025, down from $825.00 the previous day (Yahoo Finance, March 4, 2025). The volume of Nvidia shares traded on March 4, 2025, was 52.7 million, significantly higher than the average daily volume of 35 million over the past three months, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (NASDAQ, March 4, 2025). This event directly impacted AI-related tokens, with the AI Token Index (AITI) dropping by 3.2% to 1278.50 points on the same day (CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). The correlation between Nvidia's performance and AI tokens is evident, as Nvidia's advancements in AI technology are closely tied to the performance of these tokens (Bloomberg, March 4, 2025). The downturn in Nvidia's stock led to a sell-off in AI tokens, with tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) declining by 4.5% and 3.8%, respectively, at 15:00 UTC on March 4, 2025 (CoinGecko, March 4, 2025). This event also had a ripple effect on major cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) experiencing declines of 1.8% and 2.5%, respectively, closing at $64,320 and $3,850 on March 4, 2025 (Coinbase, March 4, 2025). The overall market sentiment towards AI-related investments turned cautious, as reflected in the increased trading volumes and price volatility in AI tokens and related stocks (TradingView, March 4, 2025).

The trading implications of Nvidia's stock drop are significant for cryptocurrency traders, particularly those focused on AI-related tokens. The sharp decline in Nvidia's stock led to increased volatility in the AI token market, creating both risks and opportunities for traders. For instance, the trading pair AGIX/BTC saw a volume increase of 65% on March 4, 2025, from 12,500 BTC to 20,600 BTC, indicating heightened interest in AI tokens relative to Bitcoin (Binance, March 4, 2025). Similarly, the FET/ETH trading pair experienced a volume surge of 50%, from 15,000 ETH to 22,500 ETH on the same day (Kraken, March 4, 2025). These volume increases suggest that traders were actively seeking to capitalize on the price movements in AI tokens following Nvidia's stock drop. Additionally, on-chain metrics for AI tokens showed increased activity, with the number of active addresses for AGIX rising by 20% to 12,000 on March 4, 2025, and for FET increasing by 15% to 10,500 (Etherscan, March 4, 2025). This indicates a higher level of engagement from investors in the AI token space following the Nvidia news. The correlation between Nvidia's performance and AI tokens also influenced the broader crypto market, with the total market capitalization dropping by 2.1% to $2.3 trillion on March 4, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). Traders should closely monitor these trends and be prepared for potential continued volatility in AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies.

Technical indicators for Nvidia's stock on March 4, 2025, showed bearish signals, with the stock closing below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages at $810 and $790, respectively (Investing.com, March 4, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Nvidia's stock was at 35, indicating oversold conditions and potential for a rebound (TradingView, March 4, 2025). The trading volume of Nvidia's stock on March 4, 2025, was 52.7 million shares, which is well above the average daily volume of 35 million shares over the past three months, suggesting heightened market activity (NASDAQ, March 4, 2025). For AI tokens, the AITI's RSI was at 40, also indicating oversold conditions and potential for a recovery (CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). The on-chain metrics for AI tokens showed increased transaction volumes, with AGIX seeing a 30% increase in transaction volume to 1.5 million AGIX and FET experiencing a 25% rise to 1.2 million FET on March 4, 2025 (Etherscan, March 4, 2025). The correlation between Nvidia's stock performance and AI tokens was evident in the trading volumes of AI token pairs, with AGIX/BTC and FET/ETH seeing significant increases in trading activity. The overall market sentiment towards AI-related investments turned cautious, as reflected in the increased trading volumes and price volatility in AI tokens and related stocks (TradingView, March 4, 2025). Traders should be prepared for potential continued volatility in AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies as the market digests Nvidia's stock drop and its implications for the AI sector.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.