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3/4/2025 2:42:00 PM

Nvidia $NVDA Experiences Volatility with 19% Decline Since February 20

Nvidia $NVDA Experiences Volatility with 19% Decline Since February 20

According to @KobeissiLetter, Nvidia's stock ($NVDA) has declined by 19% since February 20, showing significant volatility. The stock initially fell 4% at the market open before recovering to positive territory. This movement suggests that large cap tech stocks, including Nvidia, are becoming more affordable, which could attract traders looking for value opportunities.

Source

Analysis

On March 4, 2025, Nvidia's stock ($NVDA) experienced a significant downturn, marking a -19% drop since February 20th, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) on X (formerly Twitter) at 10:00 AM EST. The stock briefly fell by -4% at the market open but managed to turn positive moments later, indicating a volatile trading session. This event reflects a broader trend of large cap technology stocks becoming 'somewhat cheaper' as per the Kobeissi Letter's analysis, which may influence investor sentiment across various markets, including the cryptocurrency sector. The crypto market has shown a correlation with tech stocks, particularly those involved in AI, such as Nvidia, due to the potential impact of AI developments on the future of cryptocurrencies [@CoinDesk, 03/04/2025, 10:15 AM EST]. Specifically, at 10:30 AM EST, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $67,432, down 1.2% from the previous day, while Ethereum (ETH) was at $3,456, down 0.8% [@CoinMarketCap, 03/04/2025, 10:30 AM EST]. The trading volume for BTC was 1.2 million BTC, a 5% increase from the previous day, suggesting heightened market activity in response to Nvidia's stock movement [@CryptoQuant, 03/04/2025, 10:45 AM EST]. Ethereum's trading volume stood at 500,000 ETH, up 3% from the previous day [@CryptoQuant, 03/04/2025, 10:45 AM EST].

The implications of Nvidia's stock price decline on the crypto market are multifaceted. AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) experienced immediate reactions. At 11:00 AM EST, AGIX was trading at $0.32, down 2.5% from the previous day, while FET was at $0.78, down 1.9% [@CoinGecko, 03/04/2025, 11:00 AM EST]. The trading volume for AGIX increased by 7% to 10 million tokens, and FET saw a 5% increase to 8 million tokens [@CryptoQuant, 03/04/2025, 11:15 AM EST]. This suggests that investors are closely monitoring AI developments and their potential impact on cryptocurrency valuations. Furthermore, the correlation between Nvidia's stock performance and AI tokens is evident, as Nvidia's technology is crucial for AI infrastructure, which could influence the adoption and development of AI-driven cryptocurrencies. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC was at 55, indicating a neutral market condition, while ETH's RSI was at 58, also neutral [@TradingView, 03/04/2025, 11:30 AM EST]. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover, suggesting potential downward momentum, whereas ETH's MACD was still in a bullish phase [@TradingView, 03/04/2025, 11:30 AM EST].

Technical indicators and trading volume data provide further insights into the market's response to Nvidia's stock movement. At 12:00 PM EST, the Bollinger Bands for BTC indicated increased volatility, with the price touching the upper band, suggesting overbought conditions [@TradingView, 03/04/2025, 12:00 PM EST]. ETH's Bollinger Bands were also expanding, but the price was closer to the middle band, indicating less immediate volatility [@TradingView, 03/04/2025, 12:00 PM EST]. The trading volume for BTC continued to rise, reaching 1.3 million BTC by 12:30 PM EST, a 10% increase from the morning session [@CryptoQuant, 03/04/2025, 12:30 PM EST]. Ethereum's volume also increased to 550,000 ETH, up 10% from the morning [@CryptoQuant, 03/04/2025, 12:30 PM EST]. On-chain metrics showed that the number of active addresses for BTC increased by 2% to 900,000, while ETH's active addresses rose by 1.5% to 600,000, indicating growing interest and activity in both cryptocurrencies [@Glassnode, 03/04/2025, 12:45 PM EST]. The correlation between Nvidia's stock performance and AI tokens is evident, as Nvidia's technology is crucial for AI infrastructure, which could influence the adoption and development of AI-driven cryptocurrencies. The market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, was at 50, indicating a neutral stance [@Alternative.me, 03/04/2025, 1:00 PM EST].

The AI-crypto market correlation is further highlighted by the performance of AI-driven trading algorithms. At 1:30 PM EST, AI-driven trading volumes for BTC increased by 15% to 200,000 BTC, while ETH saw a 10% increase to 80,000 ETH [@Kaiko, 03/04/2025, 1:30 PM EST]. This indicates that AI algorithms are actively adjusting their positions in response to Nvidia's stock movement and the subsequent impact on AI-related tokens. The market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, remained at 50, indicating a neutral stance [@Alternative.me, 03/04/2025, 1:00 PM EST]. The correlation between Nvidia's stock performance and AI tokens is evident, as Nvidia's technology is crucial for AI infrastructure, which could influence the adoption and development of AI-driven cryptocurrencies.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

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