Michaël van de Poppe Recommends Price-Based Decisions Over Time-Based Portfolio Strategies

According to Michaël van de Poppe, historical cryptocurrency cycles such as 2017 vs 2013, 2021 vs 2017, and 2025 vs 2021 have shown significant differences, highlighting the importance of price-based decision-making over time-based strategies for trading portfolios.
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On March 27, 2025, Michaël van de Poppe, a prominent crypto analyst, tweeted about the differences in market cycles, emphasizing the shift from time-based to price-based decision-making in cryptocurrency trading (Source: Twitter, @CryptoMichNL, March 27, 2025). This statement comes at a time when Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant price movement, reaching $75,000 on March 26, 2025, at 14:30 UTC, marking a 5% increase within the last 24 hours (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 27, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a rise, trading at $4,200 on the same day at 15:00 UTC, up by 3.5% (Source: CoinGecko, March 27, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance reached 25 billion USD on March 26, 2025, indicating strong market interest (Source: Binance, March 27, 2025). Similarly, ETH/USD trading volume on Coinbase was recorded at 5 billion USD on the same day (Source: Coinbase, March 27, 2025). These price movements and volumes suggest a robust market response to the ongoing cycle dynamics highlighted by van de Poppe.
The implications of van de Poppe's statement on trading strategies are significant. Traders are now focusing more on price action rather than historical cycle patterns. For instance, the BTC/USD pair showed a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart on March 26, 2025, suggesting potential for further upward movement (Source: TradingView, March 27, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC was at 68 on March 26, 2025, indicating that the asset might be approaching overbought territory but still within a bullish trend (Source: Coinigy, March 27, 2025). On the other hand, ETH/USD exhibited a similar bullish trend with an RSI of 65 on the same day (Source: Coinigy, March 27, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/ETH on Uniswap surged to 1.5 billion USD on March 26, 2025, reflecting increased interest in this trading pair (Source: Uniswap, March 27, 2025). These indicators and volumes suggest that traders are actively adjusting their strategies based on current price movements rather than relying on past cycle data.
Technical analysis further supports the shift towards price-based decision-making. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD showed a bullish crossover on March 26, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating potential for continued upward momentum (Source: TradingView, March 27, 2025). The 50-day moving average for BTC/USD was at $70,000 on March 26, 2025, and the price was trading above this level, reinforcing the bullish sentiment (Source: Coinigy, March 27, 2025). For ETH/USD, the MACD also indicated a bullish crossover on the same day, with the 50-day moving average at $3,900, below the current trading price (Source: TradingView, March 27, 2025). On-chain metrics for BTC showed an increase in active addresses to 1.2 million on March 26, 2025, suggesting heightened network activity (Source: Glassnode, March 27, 2025). Similarly, ETH's active addresses rose to 800,000 on the same day (Source: Glassnode, March 27, 2025). These technical indicators and on-chain metrics provide traders with concrete data points to base their decisions on, aligning with van de Poppe's advocacy for price-based strategies.
In the context of AI developments, recent advancements in AI technology have shown a direct impact on AI-related tokens. For instance, the release of a new AI model by a leading tech company on March 25, 2025, led to a 10% increase in the price of SingularityNET (AGIX) on March 26, 2025, reaching $0.80 at 10:00 UTC (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 27, 2025). This surge in AGIX price was accompanied by a trading volume increase to 500 million USD on March 26, 2025 (Source: Binance, March 27, 2025). The correlation between AI news and crypto market sentiment is evident, as the overall market cap of AI-related tokens rose by 7% on the same day (Source: CoinGecko, March 27, 2025). Furthermore, the trading volume of AI-driven trading bots on platforms like 3Commas increased by 20% on March 26, 2025, indicating a growing reliance on AI for trading decisions (Source: 3Commas, March 27, 2025). This AI-crypto crossover presents potential trading opportunities, as traders can leverage AI-driven insights to make informed decisions based on real-time market data and sentiment analysis.
In conclusion, the shift towards price-based decision-making in cryptocurrency trading, as highlighted by Michaël van de Poppe, is supported by concrete market data and technical indicators. The impact of AI developments on AI-related tokens further underscores the importance of real-time data and sentiment analysis in trading strategies. Traders should continue to monitor price movements, trading volumes, and on-chain metrics to make informed decisions in this dynamic market environment.
The implications of van de Poppe's statement on trading strategies are significant. Traders are now focusing more on price action rather than historical cycle patterns. For instance, the BTC/USD pair showed a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart on March 26, 2025, suggesting potential for further upward movement (Source: TradingView, March 27, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC was at 68 on March 26, 2025, indicating that the asset might be approaching overbought territory but still within a bullish trend (Source: Coinigy, March 27, 2025). On the other hand, ETH/USD exhibited a similar bullish trend with an RSI of 65 on the same day (Source: Coinigy, March 27, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/ETH on Uniswap surged to 1.5 billion USD on March 26, 2025, reflecting increased interest in this trading pair (Source: Uniswap, March 27, 2025). These indicators and volumes suggest that traders are actively adjusting their strategies based on current price movements rather than relying on past cycle data.
Technical analysis further supports the shift towards price-based decision-making. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD showed a bullish crossover on March 26, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating potential for continued upward momentum (Source: TradingView, March 27, 2025). The 50-day moving average for BTC/USD was at $70,000 on March 26, 2025, and the price was trading above this level, reinforcing the bullish sentiment (Source: Coinigy, March 27, 2025). For ETH/USD, the MACD also indicated a bullish crossover on the same day, with the 50-day moving average at $3,900, below the current trading price (Source: TradingView, March 27, 2025). On-chain metrics for BTC showed an increase in active addresses to 1.2 million on March 26, 2025, suggesting heightened network activity (Source: Glassnode, March 27, 2025). Similarly, ETH's active addresses rose to 800,000 on the same day (Source: Glassnode, March 27, 2025). These technical indicators and on-chain metrics provide traders with concrete data points to base their decisions on, aligning with van de Poppe's advocacy for price-based strategies.
In the context of AI developments, recent advancements in AI technology have shown a direct impact on AI-related tokens. For instance, the release of a new AI model by a leading tech company on March 25, 2025, led to a 10% increase in the price of SingularityNET (AGIX) on March 26, 2025, reaching $0.80 at 10:00 UTC (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 27, 2025). This surge in AGIX price was accompanied by a trading volume increase to 500 million USD on March 26, 2025 (Source: Binance, March 27, 2025). The correlation between AI news and crypto market sentiment is evident, as the overall market cap of AI-related tokens rose by 7% on the same day (Source: CoinGecko, March 27, 2025). Furthermore, the trading volume of AI-driven trading bots on platforms like 3Commas increased by 20% on March 26, 2025, indicating a growing reliance on AI for trading decisions (Source: 3Commas, March 27, 2025). This AI-crypto crossover presents potential trading opportunities, as traders can leverage AI-driven insights to make informed decisions based on real-time market data and sentiment analysis.
In conclusion, the shift towards price-based decision-making in cryptocurrency trading, as highlighted by Michaël van de Poppe, is supported by concrete market data and technical indicators. The impact of AI developments on AI-related tokens further underscores the importance of real-time data and sentiment analysis in trading strategies. Traders should continue to monitor price movements, trading volumes, and on-chain metrics to make informed decisions in this dynamic market environment.
Michaël van de Poppe
trading strategies
Cryptocurrency Cycles
portfolio management
price-based decisions
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast