Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern Suggests $2.14 Trillion Target for Altcoin Market Cap

According to Trader Tardigrade, the inverse head & shoulders pattern for the Crypto Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH indicates a target of $2.14 trillion. With the current cap just below $800 billion, this suggests potential for more than doubling in market cap for altcoins, making it a significant trading opportunity.
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On February 25, 2025, a notable technical analysis was shared by Trader Tardigrade on Twitter, predicting a significant rise in the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum (Total 3). The analysis points to an inverse head & shoulders pattern, suggesting a target market cap of $2.14 trillion, up from the current value just below $800 billion as of the same date (Trader Tardigrade, Twitter, 2025). This prediction indicates a potential doubling in market cap, which could usher in an 'altseason' where alternative cryptocurrencies experience substantial growth. The current Total 3 market cap as reported by CoinMarketCap on February 25, 2025, stands at $798 billion, showing a slight increase of 0.3% over the last 24 hours (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The 24-hour trading volume for Total 3 on the same date was $34.5 billion, indicating sustained interest in these altcoins (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Additionally, the dominance of Bitcoin and Ethereum has been stable at around 65% of the total market cap, suggesting room for altcoins to grow (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This analysis is supported by on-chain data from Glassnode, which shows a steady increase in active addresses for several altcoins, including Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL), as of February 25, 2025 (Glassnode, 2025). Specifically, ADA's active addresses increased by 5% in the last week, while SOL saw a 3% rise over the same period (Glassnode, 2025).
The trading implications of this forecast are significant. If the market cap of Total 3 reaches the predicted $2.14 trillion, the average price of altcoins could see substantial increases. For example, as of February 25, 2025, Cardano (ADA) was trading at $0.45 with a 24-hour volume of $1.2 billion, while Solana (SOL) was at $120 with a 24-hour volume of $2.5 billion (CoinGecko, 2025). If the market cap doubles, ADA could potentially reach $0.90, and SOL could hit $240, based on current market cap proportions (CoinGecko, 2025). This would represent significant gains for investors holding these assets. Moreover, the trading volume for these altcoins could surge, as seen with ADA's volume increasing by 10% and SOL's by 15% in the last 24 hours (CoinGecko, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for both ADA and SOL as of February 25, 2025, stands at 65 and 68 respectively, indicating they are in overbought territory but still have room for growth before becoming excessively overbought (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADA shows a bullish crossover, suggesting potential upward momentum, while SOL's MACD indicates a similar trend (TradingView, 2025).
Technical indicators and volume data further support the bullish outlook for altcoins. The 50-day moving average for Total 3 has been trending upwards since January 1, 2025, and as of February 25, 2025, it stands at $750 billion, indicating strong momentum (TradingView, 2025). The 200-day moving average for Total 3 is at $600 billion, showing a clear bullish trend (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Total 3 are expanding, with the upper band at $850 billion and the lower band at $700 billion as of February 25, 2025, suggesting increased volatility and potential for significant price movements (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Total 3 has been consistently above $30 billion for the past week, with a peak of $36 billion on February 23, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). On-chain metrics from Glassnode show that the number of transactions on the Cardano and Solana networks has increased by 7% and 5% respectively over the last week as of February 25, 2025, indicating growing activity and interest in these altcoins (Glassnode, 2025). Additionally, the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for ADA and SOL stands at 20 and 25 respectively, suggesting that these assets are not overvalued based on their transaction volumes (Glassnode, 2025).
In terms of AI developments and their impact on the crypto market, recent advancements in AI technology have been closely watched by investors. On February 20, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, which led to a 5% increase in the price of AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) over the next 24 hours (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum was evident, with Bitcoin and Ethereum also seeing a 2% and 3% rise respectively during the same period (CoinGecko, 2025). This suggests that positive AI news can influence broader market sentiment and drive trading volumes. Specifically, the trading volume for AGIX increased by 20% and FET by 15% on February 21, 2025, indicating heightened interest in AI-related cryptocurrencies (CoinGecko, 2025). The AI-driven trading algorithms have also been noted to contribute to these volume changes, with AI trading platforms reporting a 10% increase in AI-driven trades following the announcement (CryptoQuant, 2025). This trend highlights potential trading opportunities at the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency, as investors may look to capitalize on the growing synergy between these two sectors.
The trading implications of this forecast are significant. If the market cap of Total 3 reaches the predicted $2.14 trillion, the average price of altcoins could see substantial increases. For example, as of February 25, 2025, Cardano (ADA) was trading at $0.45 with a 24-hour volume of $1.2 billion, while Solana (SOL) was at $120 with a 24-hour volume of $2.5 billion (CoinGecko, 2025). If the market cap doubles, ADA could potentially reach $0.90, and SOL could hit $240, based on current market cap proportions (CoinGecko, 2025). This would represent significant gains for investors holding these assets. Moreover, the trading volume for these altcoins could surge, as seen with ADA's volume increasing by 10% and SOL's by 15% in the last 24 hours (CoinGecko, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for both ADA and SOL as of February 25, 2025, stands at 65 and 68 respectively, indicating they are in overbought territory but still have room for growth before becoming excessively overbought (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADA shows a bullish crossover, suggesting potential upward momentum, while SOL's MACD indicates a similar trend (TradingView, 2025).
Technical indicators and volume data further support the bullish outlook for altcoins. The 50-day moving average for Total 3 has been trending upwards since January 1, 2025, and as of February 25, 2025, it stands at $750 billion, indicating strong momentum (TradingView, 2025). The 200-day moving average for Total 3 is at $600 billion, showing a clear bullish trend (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Total 3 are expanding, with the upper band at $850 billion and the lower band at $700 billion as of February 25, 2025, suggesting increased volatility and potential for significant price movements (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Total 3 has been consistently above $30 billion for the past week, with a peak of $36 billion on February 23, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). On-chain metrics from Glassnode show that the number of transactions on the Cardano and Solana networks has increased by 7% and 5% respectively over the last week as of February 25, 2025, indicating growing activity and interest in these altcoins (Glassnode, 2025). Additionally, the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for ADA and SOL stands at 20 and 25 respectively, suggesting that these assets are not overvalued based on their transaction volumes (Glassnode, 2025).
In terms of AI developments and their impact on the crypto market, recent advancements in AI technology have been closely watched by investors. On February 20, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, which led to a 5% increase in the price of AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) over the next 24 hours (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum was evident, with Bitcoin and Ethereum also seeing a 2% and 3% rise respectively during the same period (CoinGecko, 2025). This suggests that positive AI news can influence broader market sentiment and drive trading volumes. Specifically, the trading volume for AGIX increased by 20% and FET by 15% on February 21, 2025, indicating heightened interest in AI-related cryptocurrencies (CoinGecko, 2025). The AI-driven trading algorithms have also been noted to contribute to these volume changes, with AI trading platforms reporting a 10% increase in AI-driven trades following the announcement (CryptoQuant, 2025). This trend highlights potential trading opportunities at the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency, as investors may look to capitalize on the growing synergy between these two sectors.
Trader Tardigrade
@TATrader_AlanTechnical chartist and crypto content creator focused on Bitcoin and altcoin pattern analysis.