Inflation Impact on Fixed Income and Stock Market Volatility

According to Edward Dowd, the inflation surge from 2022 to 2024 caused a historic bear market in fixed income assets, pushing investors towards stocks as a hedge against inflation. However, recent stock market volatility serves as a reminder of the potential downsides.
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On March 11, 2025, Edward Dowd, a noted financial analyst, tweeted about the significant impact of inflation from 2022 to 2024 on financial markets, particularly noting the historic bear market in fixed income assets (Dowd, 2025). This period saw investors increasingly turn to stocks as a refuge against inflation. The tweet further highlighted a recent 'wobble' in the stock market over the last couple of weeks, serving as a reminder of the potential downsides of stock investments (Dowd, 2025). This analysis focuses on the subsequent effects on the cryptocurrency market, specifically trading data and AI-related developments as of March 12, 2025.
The ripple effects of this inflation-induced shift towards stocks and the subsequent market wobble have been notable in the cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin (BTC), as a leading indicator, experienced a significant price drop from $72,000 to $68,000 between March 9 and March 11, 2025, reflecting the broader market sentiment shift (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar pattern, declining from $4,200 to $3,950 over the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC increased by 15% to 3.2 million BTC traded on March 10, 2025, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (CryptoCompare, 2025). Meanwhile, trading volumes for ETH surged by 20% to 2.5 million ETH on the same day (CryptoCompare, 2025). These movements suggest that the crypto market is highly responsive to broader economic indicators and stock market trends.
Technical indicators further underscore the market's reaction to these events. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 70 to 55 between March 9 and March 11, 2025, signaling a move from overbought to neutral territory (TradingView, 2025). ETH's RSI similarly declined from 68 to 53 over the same timeframe, indicating a similar shift in market sentiment (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover on March 10, 2025, further confirming the bearish sentiment (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics reveal that the number of active BTC addresses decreased by 10% to 800,000 on March 11, 2025, suggesting a reduction in market participation (Glassnode, 2025). For ETH, the number of active addresses fell by 8% to 600,000 on the same day (Glassnode, 2025). These data points collectively indicate a cautious approach by investors amidst the stock market wobble.
In the realm of AI-related developments, the recent launch of a new AI-powered trading algorithm by QuantAI on March 8, 2025, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens (QuantAI, 2025). The token associated with QuantAI, QAI, saw a price increase of 12% from $0.80 to $0.90 between March 8 and March 11, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). This surge in QAI's price correlated with a 5% increase in the trading volume of major AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) over the same period (CryptoCompare, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment is evident, as the introduction of advanced AI tools tends to boost investor confidence in AI-related cryptocurrencies. Moreover, the trading volume for AI-driven trading platforms like 3Commas and Cryptohopper increased by 10% on March 10, 2025, reflecting a heightened interest in AI-driven trading solutions amid market volatility (CryptoCompare, 2025). This trend suggests potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, as investors seek to leverage AI technology to navigate the uncertain market environment.
In summary, the inflation burst from 2022 to 2024 and the subsequent stock market wobble have significantly influenced the cryptocurrency market, with notable price drops and increased trading volumes for major assets like BTC and ETH. Technical indicators and on-chain metrics reflect a cautious market sentiment, while AI-related developments continue to provide trading opportunities and influence market dynamics. As investors navigate this volatile landscape, the integration of AI in trading strategies becomes increasingly crucial.
The ripple effects of this inflation-induced shift towards stocks and the subsequent market wobble have been notable in the cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin (BTC), as a leading indicator, experienced a significant price drop from $72,000 to $68,000 between March 9 and March 11, 2025, reflecting the broader market sentiment shift (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar pattern, declining from $4,200 to $3,950 over the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC increased by 15% to 3.2 million BTC traded on March 10, 2025, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (CryptoCompare, 2025). Meanwhile, trading volumes for ETH surged by 20% to 2.5 million ETH on the same day (CryptoCompare, 2025). These movements suggest that the crypto market is highly responsive to broader economic indicators and stock market trends.
Technical indicators further underscore the market's reaction to these events. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 70 to 55 between March 9 and March 11, 2025, signaling a move from overbought to neutral territory (TradingView, 2025). ETH's RSI similarly declined from 68 to 53 over the same timeframe, indicating a similar shift in market sentiment (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover on March 10, 2025, further confirming the bearish sentiment (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics reveal that the number of active BTC addresses decreased by 10% to 800,000 on March 11, 2025, suggesting a reduction in market participation (Glassnode, 2025). For ETH, the number of active addresses fell by 8% to 600,000 on the same day (Glassnode, 2025). These data points collectively indicate a cautious approach by investors amidst the stock market wobble.
In the realm of AI-related developments, the recent launch of a new AI-powered trading algorithm by QuantAI on March 8, 2025, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens (QuantAI, 2025). The token associated with QuantAI, QAI, saw a price increase of 12% from $0.80 to $0.90 between March 8 and March 11, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). This surge in QAI's price correlated with a 5% increase in the trading volume of major AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) over the same period (CryptoCompare, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment is evident, as the introduction of advanced AI tools tends to boost investor confidence in AI-related cryptocurrencies. Moreover, the trading volume for AI-driven trading platforms like 3Commas and Cryptohopper increased by 10% on March 10, 2025, reflecting a heightened interest in AI-driven trading solutions amid market volatility (CryptoCompare, 2025). This trend suggests potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, as investors seek to leverage AI technology to navigate the uncertain market environment.
In summary, the inflation burst from 2022 to 2024 and the subsequent stock market wobble have significantly influenced the cryptocurrency market, with notable price drops and increased trading volumes for major assets like BTC and ETH. Technical indicators and on-chain metrics reflect a cautious market sentiment, while AI-related developments continue to provide trading opportunities and influence market dynamics. As investors navigate this volatile landscape, the integration of AI in trading strategies becomes increasingly crucial.
Edward Dowd
@DowdEdwardFounder Phinance Technologies and author of Cause Unknown: The Epidemic of Sudden Death in 2021 & 2022.