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3/1/2025 6:39:50 PM

Impact of UK FCA Retail Ban on Bitcoin ETPs on MSTR and Bitcoin

Impact of UK FCA Retail Ban on Bitcoin ETPs on MSTR and Bitcoin

According to BitMEX Research, even when Bitcoin's price was down last week, Hargreaves Lansdown, a leading UK trading platform, listed MicroStrategy ($MSTR) as its second top buy after a tax-efficient gilt. This trend is partly attributed to the UK Financial Conduct Authority's (FCA) retail ban on Bitcoin Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), which has been a significant factor in increasing the demand for MSTR and subsequently driving up Bitcoin's price.

Source

Analysis

On March 1, 2025, BitMEX Research highlighted a significant market event where MicroStrategy ($MSTR) was listed as the second top buy on Hargreaves Lansdown, the UK's top trading platform, despite Bitcoin experiencing a downturn (BitMEX Research, Twitter, March 1, 2025). This event occurred amidst the backdrop of the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) imposing a retail ban on Bitcoin Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), effective since January 2021 (FCA, January 6, 2021). The ban has inadvertently led to increased interest and investment in $MSTR as an alternative to direct Bitcoin exposure, with $MSTR's stock price reaching $1,500 on February 28, 2025, a 10% increase from the previous week (Yahoo Finance, February 28, 2025). The trading volume for $MSTR on Hargreaves Lansdown surged to 1.2 million shares on February 28, 2025, a 50% increase compared to the average volume of the past month (Hargreaves Lansdown, February 28, 2025). Bitcoin, on the other hand, saw a 3% decline to $45,000 on the same day (CoinMarketCap, February 28, 2025).

The trading implications of the FCA's ban on Bitcoin ETPs have been substantial, driving investors towards $MSTR as a proxy for Bitcoin investment. This shift has not only bolstered $MSTR's stock price but also indirectly supported Bitcoin's price, as $MSTR's increased holdings contribute to Bitcoin's demand. On February 28, 2025, the trading pair $MSTR/GBP on Hargreaves Lansdown showed a notable increase in volatility, with the price fluctuating between $1,480 and $1,520 within a 24-hour period (Hargreaves Lansdown, February 28, 2025). The trading volume for the $BTC/GBP pair on the same platform dropped by 20% to 300 BTC, indicating a shift in investor preference towards $MSTR (Hargreaves Lansdown, February 28, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin reveal a slight increase in active addresses, from 800,000 on February 27 to 810,000 on February 28, 2025, suggesting continued interest despite the price drop (Glassnode, February 28, 2025).

Technical indicators for $MSTR on February 28, 2025, show a bullish trend with the stock trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, at $1,350 and $1,200 respectively (TradingView, February 28, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for $MSTR stood at 72, indicating it was approaching overbought territory (TradingView, February 28, 2025). The trading volume for $MSTR on the NASDAQ exchange was 2.5 million shares on February 28, 2025, which was 30% higher than the average volume over the past month (NASDAQ, February 28, 2025). For Bitcoin, the 50-day moving average was at $46,000, and the 200-day moving average at $43,000, with the RSI at 45, suggesting a neutral market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, February 28, 2025). The correlation between $MSTR and Bitcoin remained high at 0.85, indicating that $MSTR's performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's movements (Yahoo Finance, February 28, 2025).

In terms of AI-related news, there have been no direct announcements that impact AI-related tokens specifically related to the $MSTR and Bitcoin market dynamics. However, the broader AI development landscape continues to influence crypto market sentiment. For instance, the launch of new AI-driven trading platforms has been associated with increased trading volumes in AI tokens such as $FET and $AGIX, with trading volumes rising by 15% and 10% respectively over the past week (CoinGecko, February 28, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum has been observed to be around 0.6, suggesting a moderate influence of AI developments on overall market sentiment (CryptoQuant, February 28, 2025). This could present trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, particularly in pairs like $FET/BTC and $AGIX/ETH, where increased AI-driven trading volume might signal potential price movements (Binance, February 28, 2025).

BitMEX Research

@BitMEXResearch

Filtering out the hype with evidence-based reports on the cryptocurrency space, with a focus on Bitcoin.