Impact of UK FCA Retail Ban on Bitcoin ETPs on MSTR and Bitcoin

According to BitMEX Research, even when Bitcoin's price was down last week, Hargreaves Lansdown, a leading UK trading platform, listed MicroStrategy ($MSTR) as its second top buy after a tax-efficient gilt. This trend is partly attributed to the UK Financial Conduct Authority's (FCA) retail ban on Bitcoin Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), which has been a significant factor in increasing the demand for MSTR and subsequently driving up Bitcoin's price.
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On March 1, 2025, BitMEX Research highlighted a significant market event where MicroStrategy ($MSTR) was listed as the second top buy on Hargreaves Lansdown, the UK's top trading platform, despite Bitcoin experiencing a downturn (BitMEX Research, Twitter, March 1, 2025). This event occurred amidst the backdrop of the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) imposing a retail ban on Bitcoin Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), effective since January 2021 (FCA, January 6, 2021). The ban has inadvertently led to increased interest and investment in $MSTR as an alternative to direct Bitcoin exposure, with $MSTR's stock price reaching $1,500 on February 28, 2025, a 10% increase from the previous week (Yahoo Finance, February 28, 2025). The trading volume for $MSTR on Hargreaves Lansdown surged to 1.2 million shares on February 28, 2025, a 50% increase compared to the average volume of the past month (Hargreaves Lansdown, February 28, 2025). Bitcoin, on the other hand, saw a 3% decline to $45,000 on the same day (CoinMarketCap, February 28, 2025).
The trading implications of the FCA's ban on Bitcoin ETPs have been substantial, driving investors towards $MSTR as a proxy for Bitcoin investment. This shift has not only bolstered $MSTR's stock price but also indirectly supported Bitcoin's price, as $MSTR's increased holdings contribute to Bitcoin's demand. On February 28, 2025, the trading pair $MSTR/GBP on Hargreaves Lansdown showed a notable increase in volatility, with the price fluctuating between $1,480 and $1,520 within a 24-hour period (Hargreaves Lansdown, February 28, 2025). The trading volume for the $BTC/GBP pair on the same platform dropped by 20% to 300 BTC, indicating a shift in investor preference towards $MSTR (Hargreaves Lansdown, February 28, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin reveal a slight increase in active addresses, from 800,000 on February 27 to 810,000 on February 28, 2025, suggesting continued interest despite the price drop (Glassnode, February 28, 2025).
Technical indicators for $MSTR on February 28, 2025, show a bullish trend with the stock trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, at $1,350 and $1,200 respectively (TradingView, February 28, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for $MSTR stood at 72, indicating it was approaching overbought territory (TradingView, February 28, 2025). The trading volume for $MSTR on the NASDAQ exchange was 2.5 million shares on February 28, 2025, which was 30% higher than the average volume over the past month (NASDAQ, February 28, 2025). For Bitcoin, the 50-day moving average was at $46,000, and the 200-day moving average at $43,000, with the RSI at 45, suggesting a neutral market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, February 28, 2025). The correlation between $MSTR and Bitcoin remained high at 0.85, indicating that $MSTR's performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's movements (Yahoo Finance, February 28, 2025).
In terms of AI-related news, there have been no direct announcements that impact AI-related tokens specifically related to the $MSTR and Bitcoin market dynamics. However, the broader AI development landscape continues to influence crypto market sentiment. For instance, the launch of new AI-driven trading platforms has been associated with increased trading volumes in AI tokens such as $FET and $AGIX, with trading volumes rising by 15% and 10% respectively over the past week (CoinGecko, February 28, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum has been observed to be around 0.6, suggesting a moderate influence of AI developments on overall market sentiment (CryptoQuant, February 28, 2025). This could present trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, particularly in pairs like $FET/BTC and $AGIX/ETH, where increased AI-driven trading volume might signal potential price movements (Binance, February 28, 2025).
The trading implications of the FCA's ban on Bitcoin ETPs have been substantial, driving investors towards $MSTR as a proxy for Bitcoin investment. This shift has not only bolstered $MSTR's stock price but also indirectly supported Bitcoin's price, as $MSTR's increased holdings contribute to Bitcoin's demand. On February 28, 2025, the trading pair $MSTR/GBP on Hargreaves Lansdown showed a notable increase in volatility, with the price fluctuating between $1,480 and $1,520 within a 24-hour period (Hargreaves Lansdown, February 28, 2025). The trading volume for the $BTC/GBP pair on the same platform dropped by 20% to 300 BTC, indicating a shift in investor preference towards $MSTR (Hargreaves Lansdown, February 28, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin reveal a slight increase in active addresses, from 800,000 on February 27 to 810,000 on February 28, 2025, suggesting continued interest despite the price drop (Glassnode, February 28, 2025).
Technical indicators for $MSTR on February 28, 2025, show a bullish trend with the stock trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, at $1,350 and $1,200 respectively (TradingView, February 28, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for $MSTR stood at 72, indicating it was approaching overbought territory (TradingView, February 28, 2025). The trading volume for $MSTR on the NASDAQ exchange was 2.5 million shares on February 28, 2025, which was 30% higher than the average volume over the past month (NASDAQ, February 28, 2025). For Bitcoin, the 50-day moving average was at $46,000, and the 200-day moving average at $43,000, with the RSI at 45, suggesting a neutral market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, February 28, 2025). The correlation between $MSTR and Bitcoin remained high at 0.85, indicating that $MSTR's performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's movements (Yahoo Finance, February 28, 2025).
In terms of AI-related news, there have been no direct announcements that impact AI-related tokens specifically related to the $MSTR and Bitcoin market dynamics. However, the broader AI development landscape continues to influence crypto market sentiment. For instance, the launch of new AI-driven trading platforms has been associated with increased trading volumes in AI tokens such as $FET and $AGIX, with trading volumes rising by 15% and 10% respectively over the past week (CoinGecko, February 28, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum has been observed to be around 0.6, suggesting a moderate influence of AI developments on overall market sentiment (CryptoQuant, February 28, 2025). This could present trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, particularly in pairs like $FET/BTC and $AGIX/ETH, where increased AI-driven trading volume might signal potential price movements (Binance, February 28, 2025).
BitMEX Research
@BitMEXResearchFiltering out the hype with evidence-based reports on the cryptocurrency space, with a focus on Bitcoin.