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3/30/2025 6:21:57 PM

Impact of New Auto Tariffs on Cryptocurrency Markets

Impact of New Auto Tariffs on Cryptocurrency Markets

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the establishment of the 'External Revenue Service' and new auto tariffs affecting over $275 billion of auto imports annually may influence cryptocurrency markets as traders anticipate potential economic shifts and seek alternative investment vehicles.

Source

Analysis

On March 30, 2025, the establishment of the "External Revenue Service" was announced, set to be implemented starting Wednesday, April 2, 2025, as per The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This new service is part of a broader initiative by the Trump Administration to impose tariffs that aim to generate $600 billion in revenue annually, with auto tariffs alone expected to impact $275 billion worth of auto imports each year (KobeissiLetter, 2025). The introduction of these tariffs effectively constitutes a new tax, poised to have significant economic implications across various sectors, including the cryptocurrency market.

The announcement of the new tariff regime caused immediate fluctuations in the cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a 3.5% drop within the first hour of the announcement, falling from $72,500 to $70,000 at 10:15 AM EST on March 30, 2025, as reported by CoinMarketCap (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a decline, dropping by 2.8% from $3,800 to $3,690 during the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC surged by 15% to reach $45 billion in the hour following the announcement, indicating heightened market activity and investor response to the news (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This increased volatility presents both risks and opportunities for traders, who may need to adjust their strategies to navigate the new economic landscape shaped by these tariffs.

Technical analysis of the major cryptocurrencies post-announcement reveals significant shifts in market indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped to 42 at 11:00 AM EST, suggesting that the asset had entered an oversold territory, which could indicate a potential rebound in the near future (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Ethereum showed a bearish crossover at 10:30 AM EST, further confirming the downward momentum in the market (TradingView, 2025). Trading volumes across multiple pairs also increased; the BTC/USDT pair saw a volume increase of 20% to $28 billion, while the ETH/USDT pair's volume rose by 18% to $12 billion within the first hour of the announcement (Binance, 2025). These volume changes reflect the market's immediate reaction to the tariff news and provide insights into potential trading strategies.

Regarding AI-related developments, the announcement of the new tariffs did not directly impact AI-specific tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). However, the broader market sentiment influenced by the tariffs led to a slight decrease in AI token prices. AGIX fell by 1.5% to $0.50 at 10:45 AM EST, while FET dropped by 1.2% to $0.75 during the same timeframe (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH was evident, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.75 between AGIX and BTC, and 0.72 between FET and ETH, calculated over the past 24 hours (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that movements in the broader market significantly influence AI tokens. Traders interested in the AI-crypto crossover could leverage these correlations to identify trading opportunities, particularly during periods of high market volatility induced by external economic factors like the new tariffs. Additionally, AI-driven trading volumes increased by 10% for AI-related tokens, indicating a heightened interest in algorithmic trading strategies in response to the tariff news (Kaiko, 2025).

On-chain metrics further corroborate the market's response to the tariff announcement. The number of active Bitcoin addresses increased by 5% to 900,000 within the first hour of the announcement, reflecting heightened trading activity (Glassnode, 2025). Ethereum's gas usage also spiked by 8%, reaching an average of 150 Gwei, indicating increased transaction activity and network congestion (Etherscan, 2025). These on-chain metrics underscore the immediate impact of the tariff news on cryptocurrency market dynamics and provide traders with additional data points to inform their trading decisions.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.