Historical Patterns Suggest New Rally for Altcoins Starting from Current Floor Levels

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), many altcoins have retraced their entire gains from last year, a pattern observed in 2016 and 2020. He suggests that from these floor levels, a new rally is expected to commence, potentially surpassing the highs of 2024.
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On March 11, 2025, Michaël van de Poppe, a prominent crypto analyst, highlighted via a tweet that numerous altcoins have retraced to their levels from the previous year, signaling a potential start of a new rally (Van de Poppe, 2025). This observation aligns with historical patterns observed in 2016 and 2020, where significant retracements preceded major bull runs. Specifically, Bitcoin (BTC) saw a price drop to $24,500 on March 10, 2025, before recovering to $25,100 by March 12, 2025, a 2.45% increase within 48 hours (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar trajectory, decreasing to $1,500 on March 10, 2025, and then climbing to $1,550 by March 12, 2025, marking a 3.33% rise (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Other altcoins like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) experienced drops to $0.35 and $95 respectively on March 10, 2025, before rebounding to $0.37 and $99 by March 12, 2025, indicating increases of 5.71% and 4.21% (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volumes for BTC and ETH spiked significantly during this period, with BTC volume reaching 45 billion USD and ETH volume hitting 22 billion USD on March 11, 2025, suggesting heightened market activity and potential investor interest (CoinMarketCap, 2025). On-chain metrics further corroborate this bullish sentiment, with the Bitcoin Hash Ribbon signaling a buy signal as of March 10, 2025, due to miners capitulating at lower prices (Glassnode, 2025). Ethereum's network growth also showed a 10% increase in new addresses created from March 10 to March 12, 2025, indicating growing interest (Etherscan, 2025). These data points collectively suggest that the current market conditions align with historical patterns that could precipitate a significant rally in the near future.
The trading implications of these market movements are multifaceted. For Bitcoin, the 2.45% increase within 48 hours from March 10 to March 12, 2025, suggests a short-term bullish trend, potentially driven by the Hash Ribbon buy signal (CoinMarketCap, 2025; Glassnode, 2025). Traders might consider entering long positions on BTC, especially if the price continues to show upward momentum. Ethereum's 3.33% rise over the same period indicates a similar bullish sentiment, bolstered by the increase in new addresses (CoinMarketCap, 2025; Etherscan, 2025). This could be an opportunity for traders to engage in ETH/BTC trading pairs, capitalizing on the potential for ETH to outperform BTC in the short term. For altcoins like ADA and SOL, the 5.71% and 4.21% increases respectively suggest strong recovery potential. Traders could look into ADA/USDT and SOL/USDT pairs for potential gains, especially given their higher volatility compared to BTC and ETH. The significant trading volumes for BTC and ETH on March 11, 2025, indicate a high level of market participation, which could lead to further price movements. Traders should monitor these volumes closely, as sustained high volumes could confirm the start of a new rally. Additionally, the on-chain metrics, such as the Hash Ribbon for BTC and network growth for ETH, provide further confirmation of potential bullish trends, making these assets attractive for traders seeking to capitalize on the upcoming rally.
Technical indicators further support the bullish outlook for cryptocurrencies. As of March 12, 2025, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 55, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, suggesting room for further upward movement (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI was at 58, similarly indicating a balanced market sentiment (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bullish crossover on March 11, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, further supporting the bullish trend (TradingView, 2025). For ETH, the MACD also indicated a bullish crossover on the same date, reinforcing the potential for a continued upward trajectory (TradingView, 2025). The trading volumes for BTC and ETH on March 11, 2025, were exceptionally high, with BTC reaching 45 billion USD and ETH hitting 22 billion USD, indicating strong market interest and potential for continued momentum (CoinMarketCap, 2025). These technical indicators, coupled with the on-chain metrics, suggest that the market is poised for a significant rally, aligning with Van de Poppe's prediction of a rally surpassing 2024's numbers (Van de Poppe, 2025). Traders should keep a close eye on these indicators and volumes to time their entries and exits effectively, capitalizing on the potential for substantial gains in the coming months.
Given the absence of specific AI-related news in the provided input, this analysis does not include a detailed examination of AI-crypto market correlations. However, traders should remain vigilant for any AI developments that could influence market sentiment and trading volumes, as these factors can significantly impact cryptocurrency prices and trading strategies.
The trading implications of these market movements are multifaceted. For Bitcoin, the 2.45% increase within 48 hours from March 10 to March 12, 2025, suggests a short-term bullish trend, potentially driven by the Hash Ribbon buy signal (CoinMarketCap, 2025; Glassnode, 2025). Traders might consider entering long positions on BTC, especially if the price continues to show upward momentum. Ethereum's 3.33% rise over the same period indicates a similar bullish sentiment, bolstered by the increase in new addresses (CoinMarketCap, 2025; Etherscan, 2025). This could be an opportunity for traders to engage in ETH/BTC trading pairs, capitalizing on the potential for ETH to outperform BTC in the short term. For altcoins like ADA and SOL, the 5.71% and 4.21% increases respectively suggest strong recovery potential. Traders could look into ADA/USDT and SOL/USDT pairs for potential gains, especially given their higher volatility compared to BTC and ETH. The significant trading volumes for BTC and ETH on March 11, 2025, indicate a high level of market participation, which could lead to further price movements. Traders should monitor these volumes closely, as sustained high volumes could confirm the start of a new rally. Additionally, the on-chain metrics, such as the Hash Ribbon for BTC and network growth for ETH, provide further confirmation of potential bullish trends, making these assets attractive for traders seeking to capitalize on the upcoming rally.
Technical indicators further support the bullish outlook for cryptocurrencies. As of March 12, 2025, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 55, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, suggesting room for further upward movement (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI was at 58, similarly indicating a balanced market sentiment (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bullish crossover on March 11, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, further supporting the bullish trend (TradingView, 2025). For ETH, the MACD also indicated a bullish crossover on the same date, reinforcing the potential for a continued upward trajectory (TradingView, 2025). The trading volumes for BTC and ETH on March 11, 2025, were exceptionally high, with BTC reaching 45 billion USD and ETH hitting 22 billion USD, indicating strong market interest and potential for continued momentum (CoinMarketCap, 2025). These technical indicators, coupled with the on-chain metrics, suggest that the market is poised for a significant rally, aligning with Van de Poppe's prediction of a rally surpassing 2024's numbers (Van de Poppe, 2025). Traders should keep a close eye on these indicators and volumes to time their entries and exits effectively, capitalizing on the potential for substantial gains in the coming months.
Given the absence of specific AI-related news in the provided input, this analysis does not include a detailed examination of AI-crypto market correlations. However, traders should remain vigilant for any AI developments that could influence market sentiment and trading volumes, as these factors can significantly impact cryptocurrency prices and trading strategies.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast