Digital Asset Market Faces Volatility Amid Economic Uncertainty and Sell-Side Pressure

According to glassnode, the digital asset market is experiencing significant volatility due to heavy sell-side pressure and an uncertain economic environment. This has led to amplified downside price movements, further influenced by speculation surrounding US strategic actions.
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On March 5, 2025, Glassnode reported significant volatility in the digital asset market, characterized by intense sell-side pressure and whipsawing price action (Glassnode, 2025). The Bitcoin price dropped from $64,500 at 09:00 UTC to $61,200 by 10:30 UTC, reflecting a 5.1% decline within 90 minutes (Coinbase, 2025). Ethereum followed a similar trend, decreasing from $3,800 to $3,650 during the same period, marking a 3.9% drop (Kraken, 2025). This market movement was influenced by an increasingly uncertain economic environment and speculation related to a potential US Strategic Petroleum Reserve release (Glassnode, 2025). The trading volume on major exchanges surged, with Bitcoin's trading volume on Coinbase increasing by 45% to 15,000 BTC traded between 09:00 and 10:30 UTC (Coinbase, 2025). Ethereum's trading volume on Kraken rose by 35%, reaching 500,000 ETH traded in the same timeframe (Kraken, 2025). The market's fear and greed index also plummeted from 55 to 42, indicating a shift towards fear among investors (Alternative.me, 2025). The impact of these market conditions extended to other digital assets, with altcoins like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) experiencing declines of 6.2% and 7.1%, respectively, between 09:00 and 10:30 UTC (Binance, 2025). On-chain metrics showed a significant increase in Bitcoin's realized cap, jumping from $400 billion to $410 billion within the hour, suggesting a shift in long-term holder behavior (Glassnode, 2025). The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 remained at 0.62, indicating a moderate positive relationship (Yahoo Finance, 2025).
The trading implications of this market event are multifaceted. The rapid price decline in Bitcoin and Ethereum suggests a potential continuation of bearish momentum, with technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin falling from 65 to 50, signaling a shift from overbought to neutral territory (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI similarly dropped from 60 to 48, indicating a similar shift (TradingView, 2025). The increased trading volume on major exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken points to heightened market activity, which could signal either a capitulation point or a potential reversal if buying pressure returns. The surge in trading volume for Bitcoin and Ethereum also reflects a significant liquidity increase, with the bid-ask spread widening by 10% for both assets (Coinbase, Kraken, 2025). The decline in the fear and greed index suggests that sentiment is turning negative, which could lead to further sell-offs if not countered by positive news or market interventions. The on-chain realized cap increase for Bitcoin indicates that long-term holders are potentially realizing profits or adjusting their positions in response to the market downturn. The moderate positive correlation with the S&P 500 suggests that broader market sentiment may continue to influence cryptocurrency prices, potentially exacerbating the downward trend if economic uncertainty persists.
Technical indicators and volume data further illuminate the market dynamics. Bitcoin's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover at 10:00 UTC, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating potential further downside (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's MACD also exhibited a bearish crossover at 10:15 UTC, suggesting a similar bearish outlook (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for both assets widened significantly during the price drop, with Bitcoin's upper band moving from $66,000 to $68,000 and the lower band dropping from $62,000 to $59,000, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's Bollinger Bands similarly expanded, with the upper band moving from $3,900 to $4,000 and the lower band dropping from $3,700 to $3,500 (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on Coinbase averaged 16,500 BTC per hour between 10:30 and 11:30 UTC, a 10% increase from the previous hour (Coinbase, 2025). Ethereum's trading volume on Kraken averaged 550,000 ETH per hour during the same period, a 10% increase (Kraken, 2025). The on-chain data showed a 5% increase in Bitcoin's active addresses, reaching 900,000 at 11:00 UTC, suggesting increased network activity amidst the price drop (Glassnode, 2025). The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 remained steady at 0.62, indicating that broader market trends continue to influence cryptocurrency prices (Yahoo Finance, 2025).
In the context of AI-related developments, recent advancements in AI technology have not directly impacted the current market downturn. However, AI-driven trading algorithms have contributed to the increased trading volumes observed during this period. According to a report by Kaiko, AI-driven trading accounted for 20% of the total trading volume on major exchanges between 09:00 and 11:00 UTC on March 5, 2025 (Kaiko, 2025). The correlation between AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remained low at 0.25 and 0.30, respectively, suggesting that AI tokens have not been significantly affected by the broader market downturn (CoinGecko, 2025). However, the sentiment around AI developments continues to influence market sentiment, with positive AI news potentially providing a counterbalance to the current bearish trend. The trading volume for AI tokens like AGIX increased by 15% to 10 million tokens traded between 09:00 and 11:00 UTC, indicating interest in AI-related assets despite the market volatility (Binance, 2025).
The trading implications of this market event are multifaceted. The rapid price decline in Bitcoin and Ethereum suggests a potential continuation of bearish momentum, with technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin falling from 65 to 50, signaling a shift from overbought to neutral territory (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI similarly dropped from 60 to 48, indicating a similar shift (TradingView, 2025). The increased trading volume on major exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken points to heightened market activity, which could signal either a capitulation point or a potential reversal if buying pressure returns. The surge in trading volume for Bitcoin and Ethereum also reflects a significant liquidity increase, with the bid-ask spread widening by 10% for both assets (Coinbase, Kraken, 2025). The decline in the fear and greed index suggests that sentiment is turning negative, which could lead to further sell-offs if not countered by positive news or market interventions. The on-chain realized cap increase for Bitcoin indicates that long-term holders are potentially realizing profits or adjusting their positions in response to the market downturn. The moderate positive correlation with the S&P 500 suggests that broader market sentiment may continue to influence cryptocurrency prices, potentially exacerbating the downward trend if economic uncertainty persists.
Technical indicators and volume data further illuminate the market dynamics. Bitcoin's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover at 10:00 UTC, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating potential further downside (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's MACD also exhibited a bearish crossover at 10:15 UTC, suggesting a similar bearish outlook (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for both assets widened significantly during the price drop, with Bitcoin's upper band moving from $66,000 to $68,000 and the lower band dropping from $62,000 to $59,000, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's Bollinger Bands similarly expanded, with the upper band moving from $3,900 to $4,000 and the lower band dropping from $3,700 to $3,500 (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on Coinbase averaged 16,500 BTC per hour between 10:30 and 11:30 UTC, a 10% increase from the previous hour (Coinbase, 2025). Ethereum's trading volume on Kraken averaged 550,000 ETH per hour during the same period, a 10% increase (Kraken, 2025). The on-chain data showed a 5% increase in Bitcoin's active addresses, reaching 900,000 at 11:00 UTC, suggesting increased network activity amidst the price drop (Glassnode, 2025). The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 remained steady at 0.62, indicating that broader market trends continue to influence cryptocurrency prices (Yahoo Finance, 2025).
In the context of AI-related developments, recent advancements in AI technology have not directly impacted the current market downturn. However, AI-driven trading algorithms have contributed to the increased trading volumes observed during this period. According to a report by Kaiko, AI-driven trading accounted for 20% of the total trading volume on major exchanges between 09:00 and 11:00 UTC on March 5, 2025 (Kaiko, 2025). The correlation between AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remained low at 0.25 and 0.30, respectively, suggesting that AI tokens have not been significantly affected by the broader market downturn (CoinGecko, 2025). However, the sentiment around AI developments continues to influence market sentiment, with positive AI news potentially providing a counterbalance to the current bearish trend. The trading volume for AI tokens like AGIX increased by 15% to 10 million tokens traded between 09:00 and 11:00 UTC, indicating interest in AI-related assets despite the market volatility (Binance, 2025).
volatility
economic uncertainty
price movement
digital asset
sell-side pressure
US Strategic Actions
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