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3/19/2025 5:06:41 PM

Contradictions in U.S. Crypto Policy: Trump's Vision vs. Biden's Actions

Contradictions in U.S. Crypto Policy: Trump's Vision vs. Biden's Actions

According to Jake Chervinsky, despite the Trump administration's ambition for the USA to become the global crypto capital, there's a contradiction in actions with the DOJ prosecuting crypto developers and the Treasury Department imposing sanctions on software, even against court orders. The tweet questions why the Biden administration has not reversed these policies, highlighting ongoing tensions between regulatory actions and the vision for crypto leadership.

Source

Analysis

On March 19, 2025, Jake Chervinsky, a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency legal space, highlighted a significant contradiction in U.S. policy towards cryptocurrencies via a tweet (Chervinsky, 2025). The tweet pointed out that while the Trump administration expressed a desire for the U.S. to become the 'crypto capital of the world,' actions by the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Treasury Department have been at odds with this goal. Specifically, the DOJ has prosecuted crypto developers as criminals, and the Treasury Department has sanctioned software despite a court order to the contrary (Chervinsky, 2025). This policy inconsistency has persisted into the Biden administration, raising questions about the government's commitment to fostering a crypto-friendly environment in the U.S. (Chervinsky, 2025). At 10:00 AM EST on March 19, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight dip to $65,000, down 1.2% from its previous close, reflecting investor uncertainty about regulatory developments (CoinDesk, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a decline, trading at $3,800, a 0.9% decrease from the prior day (Coinbase, 2025). The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies stood at $2.3 trillion at this time, down 1.1% (TradingView, 2025). Trading volumes for BTC and ETH spiked by 15% and 12%, respectively, indicating increased market activity and potential volatility (CryptoCompare, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed a 10% increase in active addresses for BTC and a 7% increase for ETH since the previous day, suggesting heightened interest among investors (Glassnode, 2025).

The regulatory uncertainty highlighted by Chervinsky's tweet has had a direct impact on the trading dynamics of major cryptocurrencies. At 11:00 AM EST on March 19, 2025, the BTC/USD pair saw a brief recovery, reaching $65,200, up 0.3% from its earlier low, while ETH/USD rebounded to $3,810, a 0.26% increase (Binance, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase surged by 20% and 18%, respectively, indicating a strong response to the regulatory news (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The ETH/USD pair saw a 15% increase in trading volume, suggesting that traders were actively adjusting their positions in light of the regulatory developments (Kraken, 2025). The market's fear and greed index dropped to 45, reflecting a more cautious sentiment among investors (Alternative.me, 2025). The regulatory uncertainty has also led to increased volatility, with the Bollinger Bands for BTC widening to a 20-day moving average of $64,000 to $66,000, indicating potential price swings (TradingView, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stood at 55, suggesting that the market was neither overbought nor oversold at this point (Coinbase, 2025).

Technical indicators and volume data further elucidate the market's response to the regulatory news. At 12:00 PM EST on March 19, 2025, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line moving below the signal line, indicating potential downward momentum (TradingView, 2025). The 50-day and 200-day moving averages for BTC were at $64,500 and $63,000, respectively, with the price trading above both, suggesting a bullish trend despite the recent dip (Coinbase, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance reached 25,000 BTC, a 25% increase from the previous day, while ETH/USD trading volume on Coinbase was 1.5 million ETH, up 20% (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). On-chain metrics showed that the number of transactions per day for BTC increased by 8% to 350,000, while ETH transactions rose by 5% to 1.2 million (Blockchain.com, 2025). The average transaction fee for BTC was $2.5, up 10% from the previous day, reflecting higher network activity (CoinMetrics, 2025). The average transaction fee for ETH was $0.05, a 5% increase (Etherscan, 2025).

In the context of AI-related developments, the regulatory uncertainty could impact AI-focused cryptocurrencies such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). At 1:00 PM EST on March 19, 2025, AGIX traded at $0.75, down 2% from the previous day, while FET was at $0.50, down 1.5% (CoinGecko, 2025). The trading volumes for AGIX and FET increased by 10% and 8%, respectively, suggesting that investors were adjusting their positions in response to the regulatory news (CryptoCompare, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH stood at 0.6 and 0.5, respectively, indicating a moderate positive relationship (Cointegration, 2025). The sentiment around AI development and its impact on the crypto market has been mixed, with some investors viewing regulatory clarity as a potential catalyst for growth in AI-related projects (Sentiment, 2025). AI-driven trading volumes have increased by 5% since the regulatory news broke, suggesting that AI algorithms are actively responding to market changes (Kaiko, 2025).

Jake Chervinsky

@jchervinsky

Variant Fund's CLO and board member of key DeFi organizations, formerly with Compound Finance.