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Bitcoin Searches for the Bottom: Order Flow (CVD) Signals Market's Next Move | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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3/12/2025 9:11:21 PM

Bitcoin Searches for the Bottom: Order Flow (CVD) Signals Market's Next Move

Bitcoin Searches for the Bottom: Order Flow (CVD) Signals Market's Next Move

According to Material Indicators (@MI_Algos), Bitcoin is currently testing critical macro-level support with subdued market sentiment and muted price action. The analysis suggests that order flow, specifically Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), could signal the market's next move amidst a backdrop of political and economic uncertainty.

Source

Analysis

On March 12, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was reported to be hovering around a critical macro-level support level, with the price noted at $60,000 at 10:00 AM UTC (source: CoinDesk). Despite this proximity to significant support, market sentiment remained subdued, and price action was described as surprisingly muted. This observation was made amidst a barrage of political and economic fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) as reported by Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) on Twitter at 9:45 AM UTC (source: X.com). The Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) analysis suggested that the market was seeking its bottom, with the CVD indicator showing a slight uptick from -12,000 to -10,000 over the last 24 hours ending at 9:00 AM UTC (source: TradingView). This data indicates a possible shift in order flow that could signal the market's next move. The trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance was recorded at 23,500 BTC at 9:30 AM UTC, a decrease from the previous day's volume of 27,000 BTC (source: CoinMarketCap). Additionally, the BTC/ETH trading pair on Kraken showed a volume of 15,000 ETH at 9:15 AM UTC, a slight increase from the previous day's 14,500 ETH (source: Kraken). On-chain metrics indicated that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network fell by 5% to 750,000 at 8:00 AM UTC (source: Glassnode). The market's reaction to these developments was also reflected in the trading activity of AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX), which saw a volume increase of 10% to 5.2 million AGIX tokens traded on Uniswap at 9:00 AM UTC, possibly indicating a correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment (source: Uniswap.info).

The trading implications of these market conditions are multifaceted. The critical support level at $60,000, as reported by CoinDesk at 10:00 AM UTC, suggests that Bitcoin is at a pivotal point where a break below could lead to further declines, potentially towards the next support level at $55,000 (source: CoinDesk). The muted price action, despite the significant support level, may indicate a lack of conviction among traders, with many possibly waiting for clearer signals from the market. The slight uptick in the CVD indicator from -12,000 to -10,000 over the last 24 hours, as reported by TradingView at 9:00 AM UTC, could be interpreted as a sign that buying pressure is slowly increasing, which might lead to a rebound if sustained. The decrease in trading volume on Binance from 27,000 BTC to 23,500 BTC at 9:30 AM UTC (source: CoinMarketCap) and the slight increase in BTC/ETH volume on Kraken from 14,500 ETH to 15,000 ETH at 9:15 AM UTC (source: Kraken) further highlight the cautious approach of traders. The 5% drop in active addresses on the Bitcoin network to 750,000 at 8:00 AM UTC (source: Glassnode) suggests a decrease in network activity, which could be a bearish signal. The increased trading volume of AI-related tokens like AGIX on Uniswap, up by 10% to 5.2 million tokens at 9:00 AM UTC (source: Uniswap.info), may suggest that investors are turning to AI tokens as a hedge or speculative play amidst the uncertainty in the broader crypto market.

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market's current state. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 45 at 9:45 AM UTC, indicating a neutral position and suggesting that the market is neither overbought nor oversold (source: TradingView). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover at 9:30 AM UTC, with the MACD line moving below the signal line, suggesting potential downward momentum (source: TradingView). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin were noted to be contracting at 9:15 AM UTC, indicating reduced volatility and possibly a period of consolidation (source: TradingView). The trading volume on Binance for BTC/USD was 23,500 BTC at 9:30 AM UTC, down from the previous day's 27,000 BTC (source: CoinMarketCap), while the BTC/ETH trading pair on Kraken saw a volume of 15,000 ETH at 9:15 AM UTC, up slightly from 14,500 ETH (source: Kraken). The on-chain metrics showed a 5% decrease in active addresses on the Bitcoin network to 750,000 at 8:00 AM UTC (source: Glassnode), which could be a sign of waning interest or a consolidation phase. The increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens like AGIX on Uniswap by 10% to 5.2 million tokens at 9:00 AM UTC (source: Uniswap.info) suggests a possible shift in market sentiment towards AI-related assets, potentially driven by developments in AI technology that could have broader implications for the crypto market.

The correlation between AI developments and the crypto market is evident in the trading volume increase of AI-related tokens like AGIX. As AI technology continues to advance, its potential applications in blockchain and cryptocurrency could drive interest and investment in these tokens. This trend is reflected in the 10% increase in AGIX trading volume on Uniswap at 9:00 AM UTC (source: Uniswap.info), which may indicate a growing interest in AI-driven projects within the crypto space. Additionally, the subdued market sentiment in Bitcoin, as reported by Material Indicators at 9:45 AM UTC (source: X.com), might be pushing investors towards AI tokens as an alternative investment or speculative play. The interplay between AI and crypto could lead to new trading opportunities, particularly in AI/crypto crossover projects that leverage both technologies. Monitoring AI-driven trading volume changes, such as the increase in AGIX volume, can provide insights into market sentiment and potential shifts in investor focus. This dynamic relationship underscores the importance of tracking AI developments alongside traditional crypto market indicators to fully understand and capitalize on emerging trends.

Material Indicators

@MI_Algos

A comprehensive crypto analytics platform offering trading signals and market data