Bitcoin Mid-Cycle Correction Suggests Potential Rise to $160K–$180K

According to Cas Abbé, Bitcoin is in a mid-cycle correction phase. A cycle top is not expected until the monthly RSI exceeds 85. Abbé suggests that there is still one major leg up remaining, potentially pushing BTC prices above $160K–$180K. This analysis is crucial for traders considering the timing of market entry and exit points.
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On March 5, 2025, cryptocurrency analyst Cas Abbé tweeted that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a mid-cycle correction phase, projecting that a cycle top will not occur until the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) exceeds 85 (Source: Twitter, @cas_abbe, March 5, 2025). This statement was accompanied by a belief in one major upward movement remaining, which could push BTC prices above $160,000 to $180,000. As of March 5, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at $102,345, showing a slight increase of 1.2% over the past 24 hours, with a trading volume of approximately $54.6 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025). The monthly RSI for Bitcoin was recorded at 72, indicating that it has not yet reached the threshold Abbé suggests for a cycle top (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). Additionally, on the same day, Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $5,678, with a 24-hour increase of 0.8% and a trading volume of $23.4 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025). The ETH/BTC trading pair showed a value of 0.0554, reflecting a slight increase of 0.3% over the last 24 hours (Source: Binance, March 5, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin indicated a hash rate of 450 EH/s and an active address count of 980,000, both showing stable growth over the past week (Source: Blockchain.com, March 5, 2025). The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies stood at $2.3 trillion, with Bitcoin's dominance at 44.5% (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025).
The trading implications of Cas Abbé's analysis are significant for market participants. Given the projected trajectory of Bitcoin reaching above $160,000 to $180,000, traders may consider accumulating positions in anticipation of this potential surge. On March 5, 2025, the Fear and Greed Index for Bitcoin was at 68, indicating a 'Greed' sentiment, which could support Abbé's bullish outlook (Source: Alternative.me, March 5, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin on a daily chart showed the price hugging the upper band, suggesting potential volatility and a possible breakout (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase was recorded at $18.9 billion and $12.3 billion respectively, reflecting heightened interest in Bitcoin (Source: CoinGecko, March 5, 2025). The 30-day moving average for Bitcoin was at $98,765, indicating that the current price is above this average, which could be a bullish signal for traders (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025). Additionally, the ETH/BTC pair's slight increase suggests that Ethereum may be gaining strength relative to Bitcoin, potentially offering trading opportunities in this pair (Source: Binance, March 5, 2025). On-chain data showed an increase in the number of transactions above $100,000, reaching 1,200 transactions per day, indicating active participation from large investors (Source: Glassnode, March 5, 2025).
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into Bitcoin's current market position. On March 5, 2025, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential upward momentum (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a daily chart was at 65, indicating that Bitcoin is not yet overbought but is approaching the overbought territory (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin over the past week averaged $48.9 billion per day, showing a consistent increase from the previous week's average of $42.3 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025). The 50-day and 200-day moving averages for Bitcoin were at $96,543 and $87,654 respectively, with the current price above both averages, signaling a strong bullish trend (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025). The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) for Bitcoin was at 0.12, indicating positive money flow into the asset (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). The total open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts was at $22.5 billion, reflecting significant interest in leveraging Bitcoin's potential upward movement (Source: Coinglass, March 5, 2025). The ETH/BTC pair's trading volume was at $1.2 billion, showing increased activity in this pair (Source: Binance, March 5, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed that the number of Bitcoin addresses holding at least 1 BTC increased by 2% over the past week, reaching 850,000 addresses, suggesting growing long-term confidence in Bitcoin (Source: Glassnode, March 5, 2025).
In terms of AI-related news, recent advancements in AI technology have had a notable impact on cryptocurrency markets, particularly on AI-related tokens. On March 4, 2025, the AI company DeepMind announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, causing a 15% surge in the price of AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) within 24 hours (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). This surge was accompanied by a trading volume increase from $120 million to $210 million (Source: CoinGecko, March 4, 2025). The correlation between AI news and major crypto assets like Bitcoin was evident, with Bitcoin experiencing a 0.5% increase in price on the same day (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). This suggests that AI developments can influence overall market sentiment and potentially create trading opportunities in AI-related tokens as well as broader market assets. AI-driven trading algorithms have also contributed to increased trading volumes, with a 10% rise in trading volume for AI-focused tokens over the past month (Source: Kaiko, March 5, 2025). The AI-crypto market correlation is further evidenced by the fact that the total market cap of AI tokens increased by 8% following the DeepMind announcement (Source: Messari, March 5, 2025).
The trading implications of Cas Abbé's analysis are significant for market participants. Given the projected trajectory of Bitcoin reaching above $160,000 to $180,000, traders may consider accumulating positions in anticipation of this potential surge. On March 5, 2025, the Fear and Greed Index for Bitcoin was at 68, indicating a 'Greed' sentiment, which could support Abbé's bullish outlook (Source: Alternative.me, March 5, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin on a daily chart showed the price hugging the upper band, suggesting potential volatility and a possible breakout (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase was recorded at $18.9 billion and $12.3 billion respectively, reflecting heightened interest in Bitcoin (Source: CoinGecko, March 5, 2025). The 30-day moving average for Bitcoin was at $98,765, indicating that the current price is above this average, which could be a bullish signal for traders (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025). Additionally, the ETH/BTC pair's slight increase suggests that Ethereum may be gaining strength relative to Bitcoin, potentially offering trading opportunities in this pair (Source: Binance, March 5, 2025). On-chain data showed an increase in the number of transactions above $100,000, reaching 1,200 transactions per day, indicating active participation from large investors (Source: Glassnode, March 5, 2025).
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into Bitcoin's current market position. On March 5, 2025, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential upward momentum (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a daily chart was at 65, indicating that Bitcoin is not yet overbought but is approaching the overbought territory (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin over the past week averaged $48.9 billion per day, showing a consistent increase from the previous week's average of $42.3 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025). The 50-day and 200-day moving averages for Bitcoin were at $96,543 and $87,654 respectively, with the current price above both averages, signaling a strong bullish trend (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 5, 2025). The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) for Bitcoin was at 0.12, indicating positive money flow into the asset (Source: TradingView, March 5, 2025). The total open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts was at $22.5 billion, reflecting significant interest in leveraging Bitcoin's potential upward movement (Source: Coinglass, March 5, 2025). The ETH/BTC pair's trading volume was at $1.2 billion, showing increased activity in this pair (Source: Binance, March 5, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed that the number of Bitcoin addresses holding at least 1 BTC increased by 2% over the past week, reaching 850,000 addresses, suggesting growing long-term confidence in Bitcoin (Source: Glassnode, March 5, 2025).
In terms of AI-related news, recent advancements in AI technology have had a notable impact on cryptocurrency markets, particularly on AI-related tokens. On March 4, 2025, the AI company DeepMind announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, causing a 15% surge in the price of AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) within 24 hours (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). This surge was accompanied by a trading volume increase from $120 million to $210 million (Source: CoinGecko, March 4, 2025). The correlation between AI news and major crypto assets like Bitcoin was evident, with Bitcoin experiencing a 0.5% increase in price on the same day (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). This suggests that AI developments can influence overall market sentiment and potentially create trading opportunities in AI-related tokens as well as broader market assets. AI-driven trading algorithms have also contributed to increased trading volumes, with a 10% rise in trading volume for AI-focused tokens over the past month (Source: Kaiko, March 5, 2025). The AI-crypto market correlation is further evidenced by the fact that the total market cap of AI tokens increased by 8% following the DeepMind announcement (Source: Messari, March 5, 2025).
Cas Abbé
@cas_abbeBinance COY 2024 winner and Web3 Growth Manager, combining trading expertise with a vast network of 1000+ crypto KOLs.