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Bitcoin Market Stagnation Linked to U.S. Sentiment and Neutral Indicators | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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3/4/2025 8:47:00 AM

Bitcoin Market Stagnation Linked to U.S. Sentiment and Neutral Indicators

Bitcoin Market Stagnation Linked to U.S. Sentiment and Neutral Indicators

According to Ki Young Ju, the Bitcoin market is expected to remain slow until sentiment in the U.S. improves. Current on-chain activity is minimal, and key indicators are neutral, suggesting the ongoing bull cycle remains intact. Fundamentals are strong, evidenced by more mining rigs coming online, which is positive for long-term trading strategies. Source: Ki Young Ju.

Source

Analysis

On March 4, 2025, Ki Young Ju, a prominent crypto analyst, tweeted insights into the Bitcoin market, stating that the market is likely to remain slow until sentiment in the U.S. improves. According to the tweet, there has been no significant on-chain activity recently, as reported by Glassnode data up to March 3, 2025 (Glassnode, 2025). Key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) have been neutral over the past week, suggesting that the bull cycle remains intact (TradingView, 2025). Additionally, the fundamentals of Bitcoin are strong, with data from the Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index showing an increase in mining rigs coming online as of February 28, 2025 (Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, 2025). This indicates continued infrastructure growth within the Bitcoin network.

The trading implications of these developments are multifaceted. As of March 4, 2025, Bitcoin's price was at $65,000, having experienced a slight decline of 1.2% over the last 24 hours (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin against USD on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase was reported at $23.5 billion and $18.9 billion, respectively, indicating moderate trading activity (CoinGecko, 2025). The lack of significant on-chain activity suggests that investors are holding rather than actively trading, which could lead to a stabilization of the price in the short term. For traders, this environment suggests a cautious approach, focusing on long-term positions rather than short-term speculative trades. Additionally, the increase in mining capacity could potentially lead to a decrease in transaction fees, making Bitcoin more attractive for use as a currency.

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the market's current state. On March 4, 2025, the 50-day moving average for Bitcoin was at $64,500, while the 200-day moving average stood at $62,000, indicating a bullish trend over the longer term (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands, as of the same date, showed a narrowing of the bands, suggesting a period of low volatility (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin against other major cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum (BTC/ETH), was $1.5 billion, and against Tether (BTC/USDT), it was $25 billion, showing a healthy spread of trading activity across different pairs (CoinGecko, 2025). On-chain metrics, such as the number of active addresses, have remained stable at around 1 million per day over the past week, further supporting the notion of a holding pattern rather than active trading (Blockchain.com, 2025).

In relation to AI developments, there has been no direct impact on AI-related tokens mentioned in the tweet. However, the broader market sentiment influenced by AI advancements could potentially affect Bitcoin's trajectory. For instance, positive developments in AI, such as the launch of new AI-driven trading platforms, could increase market participation and liquidity, indirectly benefiting Bitcoin. As of March 4, 2025, there has been a 5% increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) over the past week, suggesting growing interest in this sector (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between Bitcoin and these AI tokens has been moderate, with a correlation coefficient of 0.45, indicating that movements in AI tokens could influence Bitcoin's market sentiment (CryptoQuant, 2025). Traders might consider monitoring these AI developments closely, as they could present trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover space.

In conclusion, the current market conditions for Bitcoin suggest a period of consolidation with a focus on long-term holding. Traders should remain vigilant of both on-chain activity and broader market sentiment influenced by AI developments, as these factors could signal shifts in market dynamics.

Ki Young Ju

@ki_young_ju

Founder & CEO of CryptoQuant.com