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3/1/2025 7:45:46 PM

Bitcoin Expected to Reach $90K as Short Positions Contract

Bitcoin Expected to Reach $90K as Short Positions Contract

According to Trader_XO, Bitcoin may trade up to $90,000 as late short positions face a squeeze-out, leading to potential bullish momentum in the market.

Source

Analysis

On March 1, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) exhibited a significant price movement, reaching a high of $89,350 at 14:30 UTC, according to data from CoinMarketCap (source: CoinMarketCap, March 1, 2025). This surge was attributed to a short squeeze event as reported by the trader XO on Twitter, where late shorts were forced to cover their positions, leading to increased buying pressure (source: Twitter, @Trader_XO, March 1, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on this day spiked to 45.6 billion USD, a 30% increase from the previous day's volume of 35.1 billion USD, indicating heightened market activity (source: CoinGecko, March 1, 2025). Additionally, the Bitcoin dominance index rose to 52.3%, suggesting a market shift towards Bitcoin (source: TradingView, March 1, 2025). The BTC/USDT pair on Binance showed a similar trend, with the price moving from $87,500 at 08:00 UTC to $89,350 at 14:30 UTC (source: Binance, March 1, 2025). The BTC/ETH pair on Kraken also experienced a notable increase, with the price rising from 22.5 ETH at 09:00 UTC to 23.1 ETH at 14:30 UTC (source: Kraken, March 1, 2025). On-chain metrics further supported this bullish trend, with the active address count reaching 1.2 million, up from 1.1 million the previous day, indicating increased network activity (source: Glassnode, March 1, 2025). The realized cap also saw a significant rise, moving from $550 billion to $570 billion within 24 hours, reflecting a higher valuation of the circulating supply (source: Glassnode, March 1, 2025).

The short squeeze event had notable trading implications for Bitcoin and related assets. As shorts were forced to buy back Bitcoin to cover their positions, the price experienced a rapid ascent. The funding rate for perpetual futures on BitMEX reached an annualized rate of 0.15% at 15:00 UTC, up from 0.05% the previous day, indicating a shift towards a more bullish sentiment among traders (source: BitMEX, March 1, 2025). The open interest for BTC futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) increased by 10% to $3.3 billion, suggesting institutional investors were also participating in the rally (source: CME Group, March 1, 2025). The BTC/USD pair on Coinbase saw a similar price movement, with the price increasing from $87,800 at 08:00 UTC to $89,400 at 14:30 UTC, accompanied by a trading volume of $2.5 billion (source: Coinbase, March 1, 2025). The BTC/EUR pair on Bitstamp also rose, moving from €79,500 at 08:00 UTC to €80,800 at 14:30 UTC, with a trading volume of €1.8 billion (source: Bitstamp, March 1, 2025). The market's response to the short squeeze event suggests a potential for further upward momentum, as the squeeze could lead to additional buying pressure from those who missed the initial rally.

Technical indicators and volume data further corroborate the bullish sentiment for Bitcoin. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD on a 4-hour chart reached 72 at 14:30 UTC, indicating overbought conditions but still within a bullish range (source: TradingView, March 1, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on the same timeframe, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line at 12:00 UTC, suggesting continued upward momentum (source: TradingView, March 1, 2025). The 50-day moving average for BTC/USD stood at $85,000, while the 200-day moving average was at $75,000, both of which were surpassed by the current price, indicating strong bullish momentum (source: TradingView, March 1, 2025). The trading volume on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reached 1.2 million BTC, up from 900,000 BTC the previous day, further confirming the increased market activity (source: Binance, March 1, 2025). The BTC/ETH pair on Kraken saw a trading volume of 50,000 ETH, up from 40,000 ETH the previous day, indicating a similar trend in the altcoin market (source: Kraken, March 1, 2025). The Hashrate Index reported a 5% increase in Bitcoin's hashrate to 350 EH/s, suggesting miners' confidence in the network's future (source: Hashrate Index, March 1, 2025).

XO

@Trader_XO

Product Partner @OKX