Bitcoin ETF Flow Analysis for March 18, 2025

According to Farside Investors, the total net flow into Bitcoin ETFs on March 18, 2025, was US$209.1 million, with IBIT leading at US$218.1 million. ARKB experienced a net outflow of US$9 million, while other ETFs showed no flow. This data suggests a strong investor interest in IBIT, potentially indicating a bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin through this ETF.
SourceAnalysis
On March 18, 2025, the Bitcoin ETF market saw a net inflow of $209.1 million, with iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) leading the charge with an inflow of $218.1 million. Conversely, ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) experienced an outflow of $9 million, while other ETFs such as Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), and others reported no net flows (Farside Investors, 2025-03-19). This significant movement in the ETF market reflects a continued investor interest in Bitcoin, despite the outflow from ARKB, which may indicate a shift in investment strategy among some investors. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) at the close of trading on March 18, 2025, was $67,432, marking a 2.1% increase from the previous day's close of $66,042 (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-18). The trading volume for BTC on this day was recorded at $32.5 billion, a slight decrease from the previous day's volume of $34.2 billion (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-18). The dominance of Bitcoin in the crypto market stood at 51.2%, a marginal increase from the previous day's 50.9% (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-18).
The trading implications of these ETF flows are multifaceted. The positive inflow into IBIT suggests strong institutional interest in Bitcoin, which could be a bullish signal for the market. The outflow from ARKB, although small, might signal some profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing among investors, which could lead to short-term volatility. The overall net inflow of $209.1 million into Bitcoin ETFs indicates a robust demand for Bitcoin exposure through traditional financial instruments. On the trading pairs front, the BTC/USDT pair on Binance saw a trading volume of $18.4 billion on March 18, 2025, which was down from $19.8 billion the previous day (Binance, 2025-03-18). The BTC/ETH pair on the same exchange had a volume of $2.3 billion, up from $2.1 billion (Binance, 2025-03-18). The BTC/EUR pair on Kraken recorded a volume of $1.2 billion, a slight increase from $1.1 billion (Kraken, 2025-03-18). These trading volumes suggest a mixed sentiment in the market, with some pairs showing increased activity while others experienced a decline.
From a technical analysis perspective, the Bitcoin chart on March 18, 2025, showed the price breaking above the 20-day moving average of $65,800, indicating a potential bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 68, suggesting that Bitcoin was approaching overbought territory but still had room for further gains (TradingView, 2025-03-18). The Bollinger Bands were widening, with the upper band at $69,200 and the lower band at $63,600, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025-03-18). On-chain metrics further supported the bullish outlook, with the total number of Bitcoin addresses holding at least 0.1 BTC reaching a new high of 3.5 million, up from 3.4 million the previous week (Glassnode, 2025-03-18). The transaction volume in USD terms was $24.7 billion, a slight increase from $24.3 billion the previous day (Glassnode, 2025-03-18). The hash rate, a measure of the network's security, was stable at 350 EH/s (Blockchain.com, 2025-03-18). These metrics collectively suggest a healthy and growing Bitcoin network, which could further bolster investor confidence.
In relation to AI developments, there has been no specific news on March 18, 2025, that directly impacts the cryptocurrency market. However, ongoing advancements in AI technology continue to influence market sentiment. For instance, the increasing use of AI in trading algorithms and market analysis tools has been noted to increase trading volumes in AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). On March 18, 2025, AGIX saw a trading volume of $120 million, up from $110 million the previous day, while FET's volume increased from $85 million to $95 million (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-18). The correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment remains positive, with AI-related tokens often experiencing increased interest and trading activity during periods of AI innovation. This trend suggests potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, as investors look to capitalize on the intersection of these two technologies.
The trading implications of these ETF flows are multifaceted. The positive inflow into IBIT suggests strong institutional interest in Bitcoin, which could be a bullish signal for the market. The outflow from ARKB, although small, might signal some profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing among investors, which could lead to short-term volatility. The overall net inflow of $209.1 million into Bitcoin ETFs indicates a robust demand for Bitcoin exposure through traditional financial instruments. On the trading pairs front, the BTC/USDT pair on Binance saw a trading volume of $18.4 billion on March 18, 2025, which was down from $19.8 billion the previous day (Binance, 2025-03-18). The BTC/ETH pair on the same exchange had a volume of $2.3 billion, up from $2.1 billion (Binance, 2025-03-18). The BTC/EUR pair on Kraken recorded a volume of $1.2 billion, a slight increase from $1.1 billion (Kraken, 2025-03-18). These trading volumes suggest a mixed sentiment in the market, with some pairs showing increased activity while others experienced a decline.
From a technical analysis perspective, the Bitcoin chart on March 18, 2025, showed the price breaking above the 20-day moving average of $65,800, indicating a potential bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 68, suggesting that Bitcoin was approaching overbought territory but still had room for further gains (TradingView, 2025-03-18). The Bollinger Bands were widening, with the upper band at $69,200 and the lower band at $63,600, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025-03-18). On-chain metrics further supported the bullish outlook, with the total number of Bitcoin addresses holding at least 0.1 BTC reaching a new high of 3.5 million, up from 3.4 million the previous week (Glassnode, 2025-03-18). The transaction volume in USD terms was $24.7 billion, a slight increase from $24.3 billion the previous day (Glassnode, 2025-03-18). The hash rate, a measure of the network's security, was stable at 350 EH/s (Blockchain.com, 2025-03-18). These metrics collectively suggest a healthy and growing Bitcoin network, which could further bolster investor confidence.
In relation to AI developments, there has been no specific news on March 18, 2025, that directly impacts the cryptocurrency market. However, ongoing advancements in AI technology continue to influence market sentiment. For instance, the increasing use of AI in trading algorithms and market analysis tools has been noted to increase trading volumes in AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). On March 18, 2025, AGIX saw a trading volume of $120 million, up from $110 million the previous day, while FET's volume increased from $85 million to $95 million (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-18). The correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment remains positive, with AI-related tokens often experiencing increased interest and trading activity during periods of AI innovation. This trend suggests potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, as investors look to capitalize on the intersection of these two technologies.
Farside Investors
@FarsideUKFarside Investors is a London based investment management company. Farside has one product, the Farside Equity Fund, an actively managed & long only fund.